TFR Team Review · Oct 30, 2026
Cock Dynasty
WalkerDunnHDynasty12 teams1QB · 2RB · 2WR · 1TE · 1FLEX · 1SFRecord 5-2
Brown Love Experience
5th of 12 by value|5-2
Data drivesdynasties
Team state
SUSTAINED CONTENDER
Now: CONTEND
2 yrs: CONTEND
Overall roster grade
6.3
About average roster value
Overall grade · 6.3 of 10Everything on the roster added up — players and draft picks at this league's values — and set against the league's average roster. An average roster lands around 5.5; 10 is the richest a roster gets.Roster shape
WR/TE HEAVY
Best WR 2nd
Worst RB 10th
Positional grades
League rank · of 12QBQuarterback · 6th of 126th of 12 in quarterback trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. The lineup backs it up: 3 clear 12 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is a startable body behind the starters.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
RBRunning Back · 10th of 1210th of 12 in running back trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. 2 clear 9 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is nothing startable behind the lineup.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
WRWide Receiver · 2nd of 122nd of 12 in receiver trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. The lineup backs it up: 5 clear 9 PPG for 3 starting spots, so there is a startable body behind the starters.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
TETight End · 2nd of 122nd of 12 in tight end trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. The lineup backs it up: 2 clear 6 PPG for 1 starting spot, so there is a startable body behind the starters.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
FLEXFlex · 2nd of 122nd of 12 in the trade value left over once your dedicated slots are filled — the pool your 2 flex spots draw from. Your bench backs that up: 2 of 2 bench flex bodies clear the bar.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
DEPTHDepth · 4th of 124th of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 2nd of 12 in weekly points.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
Best position
WR 2nd
Top 3 of 12
2nd of 12 in receiver trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. The lineup backs it up: 5 clear 9 PPG for 3 starting spots, so there is a startable body behind the starters.Biggest gap
RB 10th
Bottom third of 12
10th of 12 in running back trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. 2 clear 9 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is nothing startable behind the lineup.Production share
9.6%
vs league avg 8.3%
Value share
8.9%
vs league avg 8.3%
Draft capital
1 1st · 1 2nd
2 year outlook
CONTEND→CONTEND
Roster workspace
8 starters · 1QB · 2RB · 2WR · 1TE · 1FLEX · 1SFProjected pointsFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game. Nico Collins is on bye in week 8, so he sits — this is this week's total. The season projection is 133.4 a week, 2nd of 12.129.8Starting lineup
SlotPlayerRankPPG
QB
Jayden DanielsWAS · 25QB618.7
Jayden DanielsWAS · 25QB618.7RB
Jaylen WarrenPIT · 27RB2314.9
Jaylen WarrenPIT · 27RB2314.9RB
Javonte WilliamsDAL · 26RB1513.9
Javonte WilliamsDAL · 26RB1513.9WR
Puka NacuaLAR · 25WR321.6
Puka NacuaLAR · 25WR321.6WR
Christian WatsonGB · 27WR1914.2
Christian WatsonGB · 27WR1914.2TE
Trey McBrideARI · 26TE217.3
Trey McBrideARI · 26TE217.3FLEX
A.J. BrownNE · 29WR3511.2
A.J. BrownNE · 29WR3511.2SF
Jordan LoveGB · 27QB1518.0
Jordan LoveGB · 27QB1518.0Projected points · 8 startersFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game. Nico Collins is on bye in week 8, so he sits — this is this week's total. The season projection is 133.4 a week, 2nd of 12.129.8
Roster
Quarterbacks
7Jayden DanielsWAS · 25QB6HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10GG, boom or bust, seems like a bust… still elite, but I'd sell if able. Can't stay healthyJordan LoveGB · 27QB15BUYTFR board · BUY 1/10Mid QB2
Deshaun WatsonCLE · 31QB31BUYTFR board · BUY 5/10Also a decent sell at right price
Jacoby BrissettARI · 33QB32SELLTFR board · SELL 7/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Anthony Richardson Sr.IND · 24QB41—
Garrett NussmeierKC · 24QB46—
Joe MiltonPHI · 26QB50—Running backs
8Javonte WilliamsDAL · 26RB15BUYTFR board · BUY 6/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.Jaylen WarrenPIT · 27RB23BUYTFR board · BUY 5/10Contending Asset
Ollie Gordon IIMIA · 22RB50—
Tyjae SpearsTEN · 25RB57SELLTFR board · SELL 3/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
MarShawn LloydGB · 25RB59—
Tank BigsbyIRPHI · 24RB60—
Kaleb JohnsonOUTGB · 23RB62HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Adam RandallIRBAL · 22RB72—Wide receivers
10Puka NacuaLAR · 25WR3SELLTFR board · SELL 2/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Nico CollinsHOU · 27WR13SELLTFR board · SELL 7/10Make sure to get good priceChristian WatsonGB · 27WR19BUYTFR board · BUY 6/10Hot potato, don’t be holding him when leg goes boom… good flip though
Jordyn TysonIRNO · 22WR20BUYTFR board · BUY 8/10Huge upside, huge risk… opportunity to buy the dip on hamstring news… but it is concerning long term… def only pay like 1.05/6 prices now, and as a reload it's a decent shoutA.J. BrownNE · 29WR35HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Jakobi MeyersJAX · 29WR56SELLTFR board · SELL 9/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Romeo DoubsIRNE · 26WR61HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Jalen NailorLV · 27WR104—
Barion BrownNO · 22WR108—
Christian KirkSF · 29WR111—Tight ends
2Trey McBrideARI · 26TE2HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10Think about selling… but I'd flip while he's on another insane TE1 tear.
Isaiah LikelyNYG · 26TE9BUYTFR board · BUY 7/10Buy the dip?The TFR take
The written take is on its way — the Roadmap below is the full read on this roster in the meantime.
The Roadmap
Your plan
CONTENDWhy contendStarting lineup produces 2nd of 12 — a win-now lineup.Roster value ranks 5th of 12, and holds roughly steady two seasons out.This reads your playoff odds — your record, your lineup and the schedule left — as well as your roster, and leans on them more as the season goes on. Four things decide this split: how many points your starting lineup scores today, how much trade value you hold, what that value looks like once every player is two years older, and how your core's age compares to the rest of the league. Producing now pushes you toward CONTEND, holding value that hasn't reached your lineup yet pushes you toward RELOAD, and being young without the production pushes you toward REBUILD. A close split means the roster genuinely hasn't picked a side.
Brown Love Experience
86%
10%
CONTEND 86%RELOAD 10%REBUILD 4%
Lineup productionYour best legal starting lineup scores 133.4 points a week, 2nd of 12 in the league. This is the half of the plan that wins games this season.
2ndof 12
2ndof 12
Team valueEverything on the roster — players and draft picks at this league's values — ranks 5th of 12. This is the half of the plan that wins the next three years.
5thof 12
5thof 12
Value × productionLeft to right is how much dynasty value you hold against an average team; bottom to top is how many points your best starting lineup scores. Every logo is a team in your league. Top right means both are working; bottom right means the assets are there but not in your lineup yet; top left means you are winning above your talent; bottom left means neither is working. The shaded band through the middle is within 8% of average either way — a team inside it reads as average on that axis.
Weekly production →
fragile contenderdominantrebuildfuture contenderLeague avgAAll Roads Lead to Rome15.0% of the league's value · 10.5% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%LLoveeeeee me11.5% of the league's value · 8.9% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%MMattPinkBaby9.8% of the league's value · 8.5% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%DDarty is Over9.2% of the league's value · 8.5% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%LLos Angeles Chargers8.2% of the league's value · 8.0% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%Ttommyjuice7.7% of the league's value · 7.4% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%TTeam Gates7.4% of the league's value · 8.8% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%TTushie Pushers6.5% of the league's value · 7.3% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%II Chase Brown Kids5.8% of the league's value · 7.4% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%BBAPainter5.3% of the league's value · 7.4% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%Rryanmosey164.6% of the league's value · 7.7% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%BYouBrown Love Experience8.9% of the league's value · 9.6% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%
Dynasty value →OVERPERFORMINGYou hold +7% the trade value of an average team and score +15% its weekly points. You are getting more out of an average asset base than anyone else — bank the wins now, because this is not a repeatable edge.
Competitive windowOpen now — and still open two seasons outRead off the roster now (contend) and the same roster with everyone two seasons older (contend).
SUSTAINED CONTENDERSUSTAINED CONTENDERRight now this roster reads CONTEND — that's the same verdict as its game plan, blending what the starting lineup scores, how much value it holds and how old the core is. In two years, with every player aged forward, roster value lands in the top third of the league.
WR/TE HEAVYWR/TE HEAVYWR 2nd, TE 2nd — the only two starting spots inside the top 3 of 12.
OVERPERFORMINGOVERPERFORMINGYou hold +7% the trade value of an average team and score +15% its weekly points. You are getting more out of an average asset base than anyone else — bank the wins now, because this is not a repeatable edge.
The game plan
Your moves, most important first
WRSell
Nico Collins
Before his value drops
Shop Nico Collins before his value drops.
RBBuy
Kyle Monangai
RB help · I Chase Brown Kids
Buy Kyle Monangai from I Chase Brown Kids.Trade talks
I Chase Brown Kids
Best fit for a deal
Open trade talks with I Chase Brown Kids.
Top move
Consolidate WR depth into an elite RBYou hold +48% of league-average WR value — 2nd of 12 — while RB sits at −49%, 10th of 12. You start 3 receivers a week once flex slots are filled and 5 clear 9 PPG, so one body is spare. Puka Nacua is the piece to lead with, and I Chase Brown Kids is the roster shaped to take it.
After this trade your receiver room is exactly full — do not move a second one.
Season odds
We rebuild your league's real schedule, project each team's weekly score from its best legal starting lineup, then play the rest of the season out a few thousand times with realistic week-to-week swing. These are the share of those seasons where you make the bracket and where you win it. Games already played are kept as results, so the numbers sharpen as the season goes.12-team league99%PlayoffsYou make the bracket in 99% of the simulated seasons.
26%TitleYou win it in 26% of them. In a 12-team league an average roster wins about 8%.
9.6Proj. winsYour average record across every simulated season, over 14 regular-season games.
2ndProj. seedRanked by average finish across every simulated season, you come out 2nd — that, not the win total, sets the seed. You average 9.6 wins over 14 games; the league average is exactly 7.0.
Positional balance
Your roster value vs. league averageEverything you own in each group, added up and set against what an average team in this 12-team league carries there. Right of the line means you hold more than you can start, so that is where a trade should come from. Left of the line is where incoming value should land. FLEX is the best of what is left after your starters; DEPTH is everything behind that.Biggest need
RB−49%
Add up everything you own at RB and it is worth +49% less than an average team here carries — 10th of 12. You start 2 running backs a week, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.Best strength
TE+146%
Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +146% more than what an average team here carries — 2nd of 12. You start 1 tight end a week and 2 of yours clear 6 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.← Deficit · buy hereLeague averageSurplus · trade from here →
-150%0%+150%
QB
Quarterback · +11% · 6th of 12Add up everything you own at QB and it comes to about what an average team in this league carries there. Nothing to trade from, nothing to fix.
+11%6thRB
Running Back · −49% · 10th of 12Add up everything you own at RB and it is worth +49% less than an average team here carries — 10th of 12. You start 2 running backs a week, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.
−49%10thWR
Wide Receiver · +48% · 2nd of 12Add up everything you own at WR and it is worth +48% more than what an average team here carries — 2nd of 12. You start 3 receivers a week once flex slots are filled and 5 of yours clear 9 PPG, so one is genuinely spare and can be spent.
+48%2ndTE
Tight End · +146% · 2nd of 12Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +146% more than what an average team here carries — 2nd of 12. You start 1 tight end a week and 2 of yours clear 6 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.
+146%2ndFLEX
Flex · +68% · 2nd of 122nd of 12 in the trade value left over once your dedicated slots are filled — the pool your 2 flex spots draw from. Your bench backs that up: 2 of 2 bench flex bodies clear the bar.
+68%2ndDEPTH
Depth · +24% · 4th of 124th of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 2nd of 12 in weekly points.
+24%4thBench depth check
Can your bench survive an injury or a bye week?
5Coveredsurvives an injury1Exposeda bye costs you a week
QB
QB depth5of 12teams pass
Backup is startable
Jacoby Brissett15.3 PPGQB
RB
RB depth4of 12teams pass
No true RB injury cover
MarShawn Lloyd7.7 PPGneeds 9RB
WR
WR depth11of 12teams pass
Bench receiver can start
A.J. Brown11.2 PPGWR
TE
TE depth10of 12teams pass
You have a usable TE2
Isaiah Likely10.2 PPGTE
FLEX
Flex depth11of 12teams pass
A flex body in reserve
A.J. Brown11.2 PPGWR
2ND FLEX
2nd flex9of 12teams pass
Second body behind it
Jakobi Meyers10.6 PPGWR
Roster diagnosis
Holding you back
3 problems
- 1RBRB is a hole, not a position group−49%Your running back room holds −49% of the trade value the average team carries there and ranks 10th of 12. There is no week where this group wins you the matchup.
- 2DEPTHYou're missing rb depthNo back behind your starters clears 9 PPG. One injury and you are starting a handcuff.
- 3TFR is selling 5 of your playersJacoby Brissett, Jakobi Meyers, Nico Collins sit on the Buy/Hold/Sell board as sells. You are holding assets our own board says the market is overpaying for.
Your edge
3 advantages
- 1TETE is loaded, but none of it is spare+146%Your tight end room holds +146% of what the average team carries there and ranks 2nd of 12 — but you start 1 tight end a week and only 2 of them clear 6 PPG, so none of it is spare. The move here is trading quality down at TE and taking a startable body back, not shipping a TE out for nothing.
- 2WRWR is a genuine surplus+48%Your receiver room holds +48% of what the average team carries there and ranks 2nd of 12. You start 3 receivers a week once flex slots are filled and you have 5 startable, so one body is spare — Puka Nacua is the piece that can leave. This is the value you trade from, not the value you protect.
- 3You already own 7 TFR buysJordyn Tyson, Deshaun Watson, Jordan Love are flagged BUY on our board. The market has not caught up to these yet — hold them.
Trading difficultyHow easily this roster can make a deal. All your value in three studs scores low, because any trade opens a hole in your lineup. Value spread across seven or eight useful players — and picks in the first two rounds — scores high: you can make a real offer without gutting yourself.
How easy it is for you to make a deal
5.8/ 10
0–4.5Hard4.5–7Moderate7–9Easy9–10Very easy
11Top-90 players
Above avgLeague avg 7.5
21st & 2nd picks
Below avgLeague avg 4.0
46%Value in top 3
League avgLeague avg 46%
3Movable bench
Above avgLeague avg 1.5
The verdict
Trading from this roster is moderate.
- Mid-sized deals work without touching the lineup
- Bench pieces can headline a deal
Trade Ideas
These are alternative deals, not a sequence — you would do one of them, which is why the same piece can appear on more than one card. They come in four kinds. FILLS A NEED moves value from a room you're long in to the one you're short in. TIER UP sends one of your starters plus a piece for a better player at the same position — for the rooms that are already fine but could be better. YOUR BOARD comes from the Buy/Hold/Sell board: a player you're selling moved while someone will still pay, or a player you're buying asked for by name. SELL THE VET and WIN-NOW BUY are the trades where the two plans meet — a rebuild selling a veteran to a contender for youth or picks, or a contender paying a rebuild in futures for a producer. Every offer is checked for whether a person would accept it, not just whether the values add up: the side getting the best player pays a premium for consolidating, you can't buy someone far above the best chip you own, and every player you send has to be someone who'd actually crack their lineup. A rebuild is never handed back an older player than it sends, and a contender is never handed a player who is out for the season. The percentage on each card is whether that manager would actually want it — their window, whether it lands in a room they are thin at, what it costs them, and how often they trade at all.alternatives — you'd do one of them4.2Trade market: Normal19 completed trades since January — about 3.2 per team. Reasonable offers get answered here.
BetaTrade ideas are in beta and can be wrong — use them as a starting point, not as advice to follow blindly. Found a bad one? Screenshot it and send it to matthewbarghout on Discord — every real example is how we fix the logic.
No complementary roster in this league right now — nobody is long where you are short.
What Changes Your Window?
The gap between where you are and the next window, sized in the thing that actually moves it — points of starting-lineup production, or the value you'd need to add.You are already inside the top third. Holding it means protecting the 2nd-ranked lineup you have — and running back, 49% below league average and 10th of 12, is the one spot still costing you points.
Draft capitalEvery future pick you hold. A pick is priced as the player it is expected to become, so where it lands in the round is most of what it is worth — and where it lands is set by how the roster that owes it is projected to finish, not by how good they look on paper. You project to finish 2nd of 12, so your own picks land late in each round.
6 picks over the next 2 drafts — about 66% short of an average roster.
#12 / 12
Pick value rankEvery pick added up at this league's prices, ranked against the other 11 rosters.
6
Total picks
0.3×
League averageYour picks' combined value against what an average roster in this league holds. 1.0× is exactly average.
2027 draft4 picksProjected order
1.111st roundlate2027 1st · 1.11Worth about the dynasty #80 player.
3.023rd roundearlyAcquired2027 3rd (tommyjuice) · 3.02Worth about the dynasty #208 player. From tommyjuice, who project to finish 11th of 12 — an early pick in the round.
3.113rd roundlate2027 3rd · 3.11Worth about the dynasty #233 player.
4.114th roundlate2027 4th · 4.11Worth about the dynasty #280 player.
2028 draft2 picksMid-round estimate
2.092nd round~late2028 2nd · 2.09Worth about the dynasty #165 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
4.094th round~late2028 4th · 4.09Worth about the dynasty #280 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
Draft capital value
#12of 12
Your pick value ranks 12th in this league.
Picks by year
20274
20282
Top asset
1.11Your most valuable pick.
2027 1st roundlate
Worth about the dynasty #80 player.
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