TFR Team Review · Oct 30, 2026
Dynasty Degenerate Club
jameslealDynasty12 teams1QB · 2RB · 3WR · 1TE · 2FLEX · 1SFRecord 4-3
Pushing 🅿️rimo
3rd of 12 by value|4-3
Data drivesdynasties
Team state
ONE YEAR CONTENDER
Now: CONTEND
2 yrs: RELOAD
Overall roster grade
7.3
Above average roster value
Overall grade · 7.3 of 10Everything on the roster added up — players and draft picks at this league's values — and set against the league's average roster. An average roster lands around 5.5; 10 is the richest a roster gets.Roster shape
STACKED
Best RB 2nd
Worst TE 9th
Positional grades
League rank · of 12QBQuarterback · 3rd of 123rd of 12 in quarterback trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. That is value, not depth: 2 clear 12 PPG for 2 starting spots, so the rank is the men who start rather than anything behind them.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
RBRunning Back · 2nd of 122nd of 12 in running back trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. The lineup backs it up: 4 clear 9 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is a startable body behind the starters.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
WRWide Receiver · 2nd of 122nd of 12 in receiver trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. That is value, not depth: 4 clear 9 PPG for 4 starting spots, so the rank is the men who start rather than anything behind them.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
TETight End · 9th of 129th of 12 in tight end trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. 2 clear 7.7 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is nothing startable behind the lineup.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
FLEXFlex · 5th of 125th of 12 in the trade value left over once your dedicated slots are filled — the pool your 3 flex spots draw from. Your bench backs that up: 2 of 2 bench flex bodies clear the bar.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
DEPTHDepth · 4th of 124th of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 1st of 12 in weekly points.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
Best position
RB 2nd
Top 3 of 12
2nd of 12 in running back trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. The lineup backs it up: 4 clear 9 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is a startable body behind the starters.Biggest gap
TE 9th
Bottom third of 12
9th of 12 in tight end trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. 2 clear 7.7 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is nothing startable behind the lineup.Production share
9.7%
vs league avg 8.3%
Value share
9.7%
vs league avg 8.3%
Draft capital
0 1sts · 1 2nd
2 year outlook
CONTEND→RELOAD
Roster workspace
10 starters · 1QB · 2RB · 3WR · 1TE · 2FLEX · 1SFProjected pointsFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game. Cam Skattebo and George Kittle are on bye in week 8, so they sit — this is this week's total. The season projection is 160.3 a week, 1st of 12.149.5Starting lineup
SlotPlayerRankPPG
QB
Caleb WilliamsCHI · 24QB219.4
Caleb WilliamsCHI · 24QB219.4RB
Bijan RobinsonATL · 24RB221.0
Bijan RobinsonATL · 24RB221.0RB
TreVeyon HendersonNE · 24RB259.3
TreVeyon HendersonNE · 24RB259.3WR
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · 27WR418.4
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · 27WR418.4WR
CeeDee LambDAL · 27WR617.8
CeeDee LambDAL · 27WR617.8WR
Rashee RiceKC · 26WR2613.5
Rashee RiceKC · 26WR2613.5TE
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · 26TE1212.5
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · 26TE1212.5FLEX
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN · 25WR5011.0
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN · 25WR5011.0FLEX
MarShawn LloydGB · 25RB597.7
MarShawn LloydGB · 25RB597.7SF
Patrick MahomesKC · 31QB818.9
Patrick MahomesKC · 31QB818.9Projected points · 10 startersFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game. Cam Skattebo and George Kittle are on bye in week 8, so they sit — this is this week's total. The season projection is 160.3 a week, 1st of 12.149.5
Roster
Quarterbacks
4Caleb WilliamsCHI · 24QB2BUYTFR board · BUY 2/10I think he is close to peak price, a shop more than sell… he might be the truthPatrick MahomesKC · 31QB8SELLTFR board · SELL 2/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Deshaun WatsonCLE · 31QB31BUYTFR board · BUY 5/10Also a decent sell at right price
Will HowardPIT · 25QB51—Running backs
9Bijan RobinsonATL · 24RB2BUYTFR board · BUY 5/10Stud, but high price
Cam SkatteboNYG · 24RB22SELLTFR board · SELL 10/10Sell high on tracy newsTreVeyon HendersonNE · 24RB25SELLTFR board · SELL 8/10Price dropping… explosive, but also Rhamondre under contract for 3 years…
David MontgomeryOUTHOU · 29RB33SELLTFR board · SELL 7/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Jonathon BrooksIRCAR · 23RB35SELLTFR board · SELL 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.MarShawn LloydGB · 25RB59—
Kaleb JohnsonOUTGB · 23RB62HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Emanuel WilsonSEA · 27RB66—
LeQuint Allen Jr.JAX · 22RB86—Wide receivers
9Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · 27WR4BUYTFR board · BUY 1/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.CeeDee LambDAL · 27WR6SELLTFR board · SELL 3/10I do think Pickens is the asset to hold here… and unless you're a contender (hold probably) then I do like offloading him at a pretty dang good price.Rashee RiceKC · 26WR26SELLTFR board · SELL 10/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN · 25WR50SELLTFR board · SELL 7/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Michael Pittman Jr.IRPIT · 29WR51HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Ricky PearsallIRSF · 26WR65HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10Probably stuck holding, try selling as throw in if possible
Dontayvion WicksPHI · 25WR85—
Barion BrownNO · 22WR108—
Brandin CooksSF · 33WR121—Tight ends
3
George KittleSF · 33TE11HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10Great contending buyKyle Pitts Sr.ATL · 26TE12BUYTFR board · BUY 7/10Could be an inexplainable good buy low… not sure why so bad usage though
Terrance FergusonIRLAR · 23TE13HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.The TFR take
The written take is on its way — the Roadmap below is the full read on this roster in the meantime.
The Roadmap
Your plan
CONTENDWhy contendStarting lineup produces 1st of 12 — a win-now lineup.Roster value ranks 3rd of 12, and falls once every player is aged two seasons forward.Your core is older than the league median — the window is finite.This reads your playoff odds — your record, your lineup and the schedule left — as well as your roster, and leans on them more as the season goes on. Four things decide this split: how many points your starting lineup scores today, how much trade value you hold, what that value looks like once every player is two years older, and how your core's age compares to the rest of the league. Producing now pushes you toward CONTEND, holding value that hasn't reached your lineup yet pushes you toward RELOAD, and being young without the production pushes you toward REBUILD. A close split means the roster genuinely hasn't picked a side.
Pushing 🅿️rimo
90%
CONTEND 90%RELOAD 8%REBUILD 2%
Lineup productionYour best legal starting lineup scores 160.3 points a week, 1st of 12 in the league. This is the half of the plan that wins games this season.
1stof 12
1stof 12
Team valueEverything on the roster — players and draft picks at this league's values — ranks 3rd of 12. This is the half of the plan that wins the next three years.
3rdof 12
3rdof 12
Value × productionLeft to right is how much dynasty value you hold against an average team; bottom to top is how many points your best starting lineup scores. Every logo is a team in your league. Top right means both are working; bottom right means the assets are there but not in your lineup yet; top left means you are winning above your talent; bottom left means neither is working. The shaded band through the middle is within 8% of average either way — a team inside it reads as average on that axis.
Weekly production →
fragile contenderdominantrebuildfuture contenderLeague avgHHUNNID SUM10.0% of the league's value · 9.4% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%LLove Thy Nabers9.9% of the league's value · 8.2% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%88Henriquez9.6% of the league's value · 9.5% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%Aacanales8.7% of the league's value · 8.3% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%TThe Goff Goff 30008.4% of the league's value · 8.7% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%RRotoSurgeon8.3% of the league's value · 7.9% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%Ddlooo7.8% of the league's value · 9.0% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%Jjonnyf137.6% of the league's value · 8.2% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%Ddeballzake7.1% of the league's value · 5.2% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%Ddklong446.7% of the league's value · 8.9% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%WWhats the Price of Coke6.3% of the league's value · 7.0% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%PYouPushing 🅿️rimo9.7% of the league's value · 9.7% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%
Dynasty value →DOMINANTYou hold +16% the trade value of an average team and score +16% its weekly points. Both sides are ahead — there is nothing structural to fix.
Competitive windowOpen now — closing inside two seasonsRead off the roster now (contend) and the same roster with everyone two seasons older (reload).
ONE YEAR CONTENDERONE YEAR CONTENDERRight now this roster reads CONTEND — that's the same verdict as its game plan, blending what the starting lineup scores, how much value it holds and how old the core is. In two years, with every player aged forward, roster value lands in the middle third of the league.
STACKEDSTACKEDRB 2nd, WR 2nd, QB 3rd — 3 starting spots inside the top 3 of 12.
DOMINANTDOMINANTYou hold +16% the trade value of an average team and score +16% its weekly points. Both sides are ahead — there is nothing structural to fix.
The game plan
Your moves, most important first
WRSell
CeeDee Lamb
Get a startable WR back
Shop CeeDee Lamb before his value drops — and get a startable receiver in return, the room has none to spare.
WRBuy
Rome Odunze
WR help · Whats the Price of Coke
Buy Rome Odunze from Whats the Price of Coke.Trade talks
Whats the Price of Coke
Best fit for a deal
Open trade talks with Whats the Price of Coke.
Top move
Consolidate RB depth into an elite TEYou hold +51% of league-average RB value — 2nd of 12 — while TE sits at −51%, 9th of 12. You start 2 running backs a week and 4 clear 9 PPG, so one body is spare. Cam Skattebo is the piece to lead with.
After this trade your running back room is exactly full — do not move a second one.
Season odds
We rebuild your league's real schedule, project each team's weekly score from its best legal starting lineup, then play the rest of the season out a few thousand times with realistic week-to-week swing. These are the share of those seasons where you make the bracket and where you win it. Games already played are kept as results, so the numbers sharpen as the season goes.12-team league92%PlayoffsYou make the bracket in 92% of the simulated seasons.
21%TitleYou win it in 21% of them. In a 12-team league an average roster wins about 8%.
8.7Proj. winsYour average record across every simulated season, over 14 regular-season games.
3rdProj. seedRanked by average finish across every simulated season, you come out 3rd — that, not the win total, sets the seed. You average 8.7 wins over 14 games; the league average is exactly 7.0.
Positional balance
Your roster value vs. league averageEverything you own in each group, added up and set against what an average team in this 12-team league carries there. Right of the line means you hold more than you can start, so that is where a trade should come from. Left of the line is where incoming value should land. FLEX is the best of what is left after your starters; DEPTH is everything behind that.Biggest need
TE−51%
Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +51% less than an average team here carries — 9th of 12. You start 2 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.Best strength
QB+66%
Add up everything you own at QB and it is worth +66% more than what an average team here carries — 3rd of 12. You start 2 quarterbacks a week and 2 of yours clear 12 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.← Deficit · buy hereLeague averageSurplus · trade from here →
-100%0%+100%
QB
Quarterback · +66% · 3rd of 12Add up everything you own at QB and it is worth +66% more than what an average team here carries — 3rd of 12. You start 2 quarterbacks a week and 2 of yours clear 12 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.
+66%3rdRB
Running Back · +51% · 2nd of 12Add up everything you own at RB and it is worth +51% more than what an average team here carries — 2nd of 12. You start 2 running backs a week and 4 of yours clear 9 PPG, so one is genuinely spare and can be spent.
+51%2ndWR
Wide Receiver · +46% · 2nd of 12Add up everything you own at WR and it is worth +46% more than what an average team here carries — 2nd of 12. You start 4 receivers a week once flex slots are filled and 4 of yours clear 9 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.
+46%2ndTE
Tight End · −51% · 9th of 12Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +51% less than an average team here carries — 9th of 12. You start 2 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.
−51%9thFLEX
Flex · +1% · 5th of 125th of 12 in the trade value left over once your dedicated slots are filled — the pool your 3 flex spots draw from. Your bench backs that up: 2 of 2 bench flex bodies clear the bar.
+1%5thDEPTH
Depth · +40% · 4th of 124th of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 1st of 12 in weekly points.
+40%4thBench depth check
Can your bench survive an injury or a bye week?
3Coveredsurvives an injury3Exposeda bye costs you a week
QB
QB depth5of 12teams pass
No startable backup
Deshaun Watson11.5 PPGneeds 12QB
RB
RB depth5of 12teams pass
Real injury cover
TreVeyon Henderson9.3 PPGRB
WR
WR depth5of 12teams pass
Receiver bench is too thin
Dontayvion Wicks6.4 PPGneeds 9WR
TE
TE depth6of 12teams pass
No usable TE2
Nobody behind your lineup · needs 7.7 PPG
FLEX
Flex depth8of 12teams pass
A flex body in reserve
David Montgomery10.0 PPGRB
2ND FLEX
2nd flex6of 12teams pass
Second body behind it
TreVeyon Henderson9.3 PPGRB
Roster diagnosis
Holding you back
3 problems
- 1DEPTHYour bench is short in 3 spotsYou start 2 quarterbacks and nobody behind them clears 12 PPG. In superflex that is the fastest way to lose a week. No receiver behind your starters clears 9 PPG. Most rosters carry one, and bye weeks punish you without it. Nobody behind your starting tight end clears 7.7 PPG. Not hard to fix, but you need one.
- 2TFR is selling 8 of your playersRashee Rice, Jonathon Brooks, Cam Skattebo sit on the Buy/Hold/Sell board as sells. You are holding assets our own board says the market is overpaying for.
- 3TETE is a hole, not a position group−51%Your tight end room holds −51% of the trade value the average team carries there and ranks 9th of 12. Every week you start someone the rest of the league would bench.
Your edge
3 advantages
- 1RBRB is a genuine surplus+51%Your running back room holds +51% of what the average team carries there and ranks 2nd of 12. You start 2 running backs a week and you have 4 startable, so one body is spare — Cam Skattebo is the piece that can leave. This is the value you trade from, not the value you protect.
- 2QBQB is loaded, but none of it is spare+66%Your quarterback room holds +66% of what the average team carries there and ranks 3rd of 12 — but you start 2 quarterbacks a week and only 2 of them clear 12 PPG, so none of it is spare. The move here is trading quality down at QB and taking a startable body back, not shipping a QB out for nothing.
- 3WRWR is loaded, but none of it is spare+46%Your receiver room holds +46% of what the average team carries there and ranks 2nd of 12 — but you start 4 receivers a week once flex slots are filled and only 4 of them clear 9 PPG, so none of it is spare. The move here is trading quality down at WR and taking a startable body back, not shipping a WR out for nothing.
Trading difficultyHow easily this roster can make a deal. All your value in three studs scores low, because any trade opens a hole in your lineup. Value spread across seven or eight useful players — and picks in the first two rounds — scores high: you can make a real offer without gutting yourself.
How easy it is for you to make a deal
4.2/ 10
0–4.5Hard4.5–7Moderate7–9Easy9–10Very easy
7Top-90 players
League avgLeague avg 7.5
11st & 2nd picks
Below avgLeague avg 4.0
51%Value in top 3
League avgLeague avg 48%
0Movable bench
Below avgLeague avg 0.8
The verdict
Trading from this roster is hard.
- Almost any deal opens a hole in your lineup
- Nothing on the bench is worth a call
Trade Ideas
These are alternative deals, not a sequence — you would do one of them, which is why the same piece can appear on more than one card. They come in four kinds. FILLS A NEED moves value from a room you're long in to the one you're short in. TIER UP sends one of your starters plus a piece for a better player at the same position — for the rooms that are already fine but could be better. YOUR BOARD comes from the Buy/Hold/Sell board: a player you're selling moved while someone will still pay, or a player you're buying asked for by name. SELL THE VET and WIN-NOW BUY are the trades where the two plans meet — a rebuild selling a veteran to a contender for youth or picks, or a contender paying a rebuild in futures for a producer. Every offer is checked for whether a person would accept it, not just whether the values add up: the side getting the best player pays a premium for consolidating, you can't buy someone far above the best chip you own, and every player you send has to be someone who'd actually crack their lineup. A rebuild is never handed back an older player than it sends, and a contender is never handed a player who is out for the season. The percentage on each card is whether that manager would actually want it — their window, whether it lands in a room they are thin at, what it costs them, and how often they trade at all.alternatives — you'd do one of them3.1Trade market: Quiet14 completed trades since January — about 2.3 per team. You will need to start the conversation, and expect to overpay slightly to finish one.
BetaTrade ideas are in beta and can be wrong — use them as a starting point, not as advice to follow blindly. Found a bad one? Screenshot it and send it to matthewbarghout on Discord — every real example is how we fix the logic.
No complementary roster in this league right now — nobody is long where you are short.
What Changes Your Window?
The gap between where you are and the next window, sized in the thing that actually moves it — points of starting-lineup production, or the value you'd need to add.You are already inside the top third. Holding it means protecting the 1st-ranked lineup you have — and tight end, 51% below league average and 9th of 12, is the one spot still costing you points.
Draft capitalEvery future pick you hold. A pick is priced as the player it is expected to become, so where it lands in the round is most of what it is worth — and where it lands is set by how the roster that owes it is projected to finish, not by how good they look on paper. You project to finish 1st of 12, so your own picks land late in each round.
4 picks over the next 2 drafts — about 95% short of an average roster.
#12 / 12
Pick value rankEvery pick added up at this league's prices, ranked against the other 11 rosters.
4
Total picks
0.0×
League averageYour picks' combined value against what an average roster in this league holds. 1.0× is exactly average.
2027 draft2 picksProjected order
2.122nd roundlate2027 2nd · 2.12Worth about the dynasty #170 player.
4.124th roundlate2027 4th · 4.12Worth about the dynasty #280 player.
2028 draft2 picksMid-round estimate
3.093rd round~late2028 3rd · 3.09Worth about the dynasty #235 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
4.094th round~late2028 4th · 4.09Worth about the dynasty #283 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
Draft capital value
#12of 12
Your pick value ranks 12th in this league.
Picks by year
20272
20282
Top asset
2.12Your most valuable pick.
2027 2nd roundlate
Worth about the dynasty #170 player.
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