TFR Team Review · Oct 30, 2026
B1G Dynasty
Love at Discount PriceDynasty12 teams1QB · 2RB · 2WR · 1TE · 3FLEX · 1SFRecord 7-0
Love at Discount Price
2nd of 12 by value|7-0
Data drivesdynasties
Team state
SUSTAINED CONTENDER
Now: CONTEND
2 yrs: CONTEND
Overall roster grade
8.6
Above average roster value
Overall grade · 8.6 of 10Everything on the roster added up — players and draft picks at this league's values — and set against the league's average roster. An average roster lands around 5.5; 10 is the richest a roster gets.Roster shape
QB/WR HEAVY
Best QB 2nd
Worst TE 11th
Positional grades
League rank · of 12QBQuarterback · 2nd of 122nd of 12 in quarterback trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. That is value, not depth: 2 clear 12 PPG for 2 starting spots, so the rank is the men who start rather than anything behind them.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
RBRunning Back · 4th of 124th of 12 in running back trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. That is value, not depth: 2 clear 9 PPG for 2 starting spots, so the rank is the men who start rather than anything behind them. Jadarian Price is part of that value and out for the season — tradeable, but not scoring for you this year.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
WRWide Receiver · 2nd of 122nd of 12 in receiver trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. The lineup backs it up: 5 clear 9 PPG for 4 starting spots, so there is a startable body behind the starters.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
TETight End · 11th of 1211th of 12 in tight end trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. 2 clear 7.1 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is nothing startable behind the lineup. Terrance Ferguson is part of that value and out for the season — tradeable, but not scoring for you this year.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
FLEXFlex · 4th of 124th of 12 in the trade value left over once your dedicated slots are filled — the pool your 4 flex spots draw from. That is value, not points: 1 of 2 bench flex body clears the bar, so a rank this high means expensive players sitting behind your lineup rather than a strong flex week to week.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
DEPTHDepth · 2nd of 122nd of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 2nd of 12 in weekly points.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
Best position
QB 2nd
Top 3 of 12
2nd of 12 in quarterback trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. That is value, not depth: 2 clear 12 PPG for 2 starting spots, so the rank is the men who start rather than anything behind them.Biggest gap
TE 11th
Bottom third of 12
11th of 12 in tight end trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. 2 clear 7.1 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is nothing startable behind the lineup. Terrance Ferguson is part of that value and out for the season — tradeable, but not scoring for you this year.Production share
9.5%
vs league avg 8.3%
Value share
10.7%
vs league avg 8.3%
Draft capital
3 1sts · 0 2nds
2 year outlook
CONTEND→CONTEND
Roster workspace
10 starters · 1QB · 2RB · 2WR · 1TE · 3FLEX · 1SFProjected pointsFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game. Brock Purdy and Juwan Johnson are on bye in week 8, so they sit — this is this week's total. The season projection is 156.6 a week, 2nd of 12.142.9Starting lineup
SlotPlayerRankPPG
QB
Joe BurrowCIN · 29QB518.5
Joe BurrowCIN · 29QB518.5RB
Kenneth Walker IIIKC · 26RB516.3
Kenneth Walker IIIKC · 26RB516.3RB
D'Andre SwiftCHI · 27RB1914.4
D'Andre SwiftCHI · 27RB1914.4WR
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · 24WR121.8
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · 24WR121.8WR
Puka NacuaLAR · 25WR321.6
Puka NacuaLAR · 25WR321.6TE
Dallas GoedertPHI · 31TE1411.4
Dallas GoedertPHI · 31TE1411.4FLEX
DK MetcalfPIT · 28WR4311.7
DK MetcalfPIT · 28WR4311.7FLEX
KC Concepcion Jr.CLE · 22WR2810.2
KC Concepcion Jr.CLE · 22WR2810.2FLEX
Josh DownsIND · 25WR379.8
Josh DownsIND · 25WR379.8SF
Emanuel WilsonSEA · 27RB667.2
Emanuel WilsonSEA · 27RB667.2Projected points · 10 startersFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game. Brock Purdy and Juwan Johnson are on bye in week 8, so they sit — this is this week's total. The season projection is 156.6 a week, 2nd of 12.142.9
Roster
Quarterbacks
3Joe BurrowCIN · 29QB5SELLTFR board · SELL 10/10Must-Sell, no rushing upside… which sure can be overcome by insane TD rate… but injury history overshadows that, paired with insane current price.
Brock PurdySF · 26QB7SELLTFR board · SELL 3/10Buy as contender, sell otherwise
Mac JonesSF · 28QB36HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.Running backs
9Kenneth Walker IIIKC · 26RB5SELLTFR board · SELL 8/10Never seen a bigger ""sell-high"" example in my life.
Jadarian PriceIRSEA · 23RB18SELLTFR board · SELL 8/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.D'Andre SwiftCHI · 27RB19BUYTFR board · BUY 5/10target as contender/1 year reload… otherwise sell he's rising a lot in value
Jonah ColemanDEN · 23RB26BUYTFR board · BUY 6/10Buy the dip
Zach CharbonnetSEA · 25RB34BUYTFR board · BUY 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Woody MarksHOU · 25RB37SELLTFR board · SELL 7/10Sell high
Brian Robinson Jr.ATL · 27RB61—
Jaylen WrightMIA · 23RB65—Emanuel WilsonSEA · 27RB66—Wide receivers
11Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · 24WR1BUYTFR board · BUY 2/10Super ExpensivePuka NacuaLAR · 25WR3SELLTFR board · SELL 2/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.KC Concepcion Jr.CLE · 22WR28SELLTFR board · SELL 2/10Lowkey like selling highJosh DownsIND · 25WR37BUYTFR board · BUY 4/10Interesting w/ chiefs newsDK MetcalfPIT · 28WR43SELLTFR board · SELL 7/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Chris BellMIA · 22WR58BUYTFR board · BUY 7/10Buy the dip
Malachi FieldsNYG · 23WR80BUYTFR board · BUY 3/10Long Term
Troy FranklinDEN · 23WR81HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Elic AyomanorTEN · 23WR88HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Jerry JeudyCLE · 27WR89—
Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA · 23WR110—Tight ends
4
Terrance FergusonIRLAR · 23TE13HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.Dallas GoedertPHI · 31TE14SELLTFR board · SELL 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Juwan JohnsonNO · 30TE18—
Tommy TrembleCAR · 26TE54—The TFR take
I dont see this discord usernmae, DM me
The Roadmap
Your plan
CONTENDWhy contendStarting lineup produces 2nd of 12 — a win-now lineup.Roster value ranks 2nd of 12, and holds roughly steady two seasons out.This reads your playoff odds — your record, your lineup and the schedule left — as well as your roster, and leans on them more as the season goes on. Four things decide this split: how many points your starting lineup scores today, how much trade value you hold, what that value looks like once every player is two years older, and how your core's age compares to the rest of the league. Producing now pushes you toward CONTEND, holding value that hasn't reached your lineup yet pushes you toward RELOAD, and being young without the production pushes you toward REBUILD. A close split means the roster genuinely hasn't picked a side.
Love at Discount Price
86%
12%
CONTEND 86%RELOAD 12%REBUILD 2%
Lineup productionYour best legal starting lineup scores 156.6 points a week, 2nd of 12 in the league. This is the half of the plan that wins games this season.
2ndof 12
2ndof 12
Team valueEverything on the roster — players and draft picks at this league's values — ranks 2nd of 12. This is the half of the plan that wins the next three years.
2ndof 12
2ndof 12
Value × productionLeft to right is how much dynasty value you hold against an average team; bottom to top is how many points your best starting lineup scores. Every logo is a team in your league. Top right means both are working; bottom right means the assets are there but not in your lineup yet; top left means you are winning above your talent; bottom left means neither is working. The shaded band through the middle is within 8% of average either way — a team inside it reads as average on that axis.
Weekly production →
fragile contenderdominantrebuildfuture contenderLeague avgAAll Roads Lead to London11.5% of the league's value · 9.5% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%HHankinonia 9.5% of the league's value · 8.1% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%LLovers, not fighters9.0% of the league's value · 6.5% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%RREJOICE FOR HE HAS RISEN8.7% of the league's value · 9.2% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%AAchane Family Inc.8.5% of the league's value · 9.0% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%LLawrenx8.3% of the league's value · 9.4% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%HHawks by a Million8.1% of the league's value · 6.2% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%MMakai Wish7.4% of the league's value · 7.5% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%WWildLep6.2% of the league's value · 8.3% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%IIndianapolis RomeODoubzes6.2% of the league's value · 9.4% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%PPenix Hurts5.9% of the league's value · 7.3% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%LYouLove at Discount Price10.7% of the league's value · 9.5% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%
Dynasty value →DOMINANTYou hold +28% the trade value of an average team and score +14% its weekly points. Both sides are ahead — there is nothing structural to fix.
Competitive windowOpen now — and still open two seasons outRead off the roster now (contend) and the same roster with everyone two seasons older (contend).
SUSTAINED CONTENDERSUSTAINED CONTENDERRight now this roster reads CONTEND — that's the same verdict as its game plan, blending what the starting lineup scores, how much value it holds and how old the core is. In two years, with every player aged forward, roster value lands in the top third of the league.
QB/WR HEAVYQB/WR HEAVYQB 2nd, WR 2nd — the only two starting spots inside the top 3 of 12.
DOMINANTDOMINANTYou hold +28% the trade value of an average team and score +14% its weekly points. Both sides are ahead — there is nothing structural to fix.
The game plan
Your moves, most important first
WRSell
Puka Nacua
Get a startable WR back
Shop Puka Nacua before his value drops — and get a startable receiver in return, the room has none to spare.
TEBuy
Harold Fannin Jr.
TE help · Makai Wish
Buy Harold Fannin Jr. from Makai Wish.Trade talks
Makai Wish
Best fit for a deal
Open trade talks with Makai Wish.
Top move
Trade down at WR to fix TEYour receiver room is 75% above league average, 2nd of 12, while TE is 71% below league average, 11th of 12. But you start 4 receivers a week once flex slots are filled and only 5 of yours clear 9 PPG, so you cannot simply send one out. Move your most expensive receiver and insist on a startable receiver coming back alongside the tight end — the value gap between the two is what pays for the upgrade. Makai Wish is the roster shaped to take it.
Get a startable receiver back in the same deal — this room has no spare body.
Season odds
We rebuild your league's real schedule, project each team's weekly score from its best legal starting lineup, then play the rest of the season out a few thousand times with realistic week-to-week swing. These are the share of those seasons where you make the bracket and where you win it. Games already played are kept as results, so the numbers sharpen as the season goes.12-team league100%PlayoffsYou make the bracket in 100% of the simulated seasons.
24%TitleYou win it in 24% of them. In a 12-team league an average roster wins about 8%.
11.3Proj. winsYour average record across every simulated season, over 14 regular-season games.
1stProj. seedYou finish ahead of the field more often than anyone else — that's what makes this 1st, not the win total. Fantasy is high variance, so even the best roster only averages 11.3 of 14 games; the league average is exactly 7.0. Beating the field by a win or two is what a top seed actually looks like.
Positional balance
Your roster value vs. league averageEverything you own in each group, added up and set against what an average team in this 12-team league carries there. Right of the line means you hold more than you can start, so that is where a trade should come from. Left of the line is where incoming value should land. FLEX is the best of what is left after your starters; DEPTH is everything behind that.Biggest need
TE−71%
Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +71% less than an average team here carries — 11th of 12. You start 2 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.Best strength
WR+75%
Add up everything you own at WR and it is worth +75% more than what an average team here carries — 2nd of 12. You start 4 receivers a week once flex slots are filled and 5 of yours clear 9 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.← Deficit · buy hereLeague averageSurplus · trade from here →
-100%0%+100%
QB
Quarterback · +49% · 2nd of 12Add up everything you own at QB and it is worth +49% more than what an average team here carries — 2nd of 12. You start 2 quarterbacks a week and 2 of yours clear 12 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.
+49%2ndRB
Running Back · +34% · 4th of 12Add up everything you own at RB and it is worth +34% more than what an average team here carries — 4th of 12. You start 2 running backs a week and 2 of yours clear 9 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.
+34%4thWR
Wide Receiver · +75% · 2nd of 12Add up everything you own at WR and it is worth +75% more than what an average team here carries — 2nd of 12. You start 4 receivers a week once flex slots are filled and 5 of yours clear 9 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.
+75%2ndTE
Tight End · −71% · 11th of 12Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +71% less than an average team here carries — 11th of 12. You start 2 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.
−71%11thFLEX
Flex · +1% · 4th of 124th of 12 in the trade value left over once your dedicated slots are filled — the pool your 4 flex spots draw from. That is value, not points: 1 of 2 bench flex body clears the bar, so a rank this high means expensive players sitting behind your lineup rather than a strong flex week to week.
+1%4thDEPTH
Depth · +64% · 2nd of 122nd of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 2nd of 12 in weekly points.
+64%2ndBench depth check
Can your bench survive an injury or a bye week?
2Coveredsurvives an injury1Thinone injury from trouble3Exposeda bye costs you a week
QB
QB depth5of 12teams pass
No startable backup
Mac Jones6.6 PPGneeds 12QB
RB
RB depth2of 12teams pass
No true RB injury cover
Woody Marks8.4 PPGneeds 9RB
WR
WR depth9of 12teams pass
Bench receiver can start
Josh Downs9.8 PPGWR
TE
TE depth6of 12teams pass
No usable TE2
Tommy Tremble4.8 PPGneeds 7.1TE
FLEX
Flex depth9of 12teams pass
A flex body in reserve
Josh Downs9.8 PPGWR
2ND FLEX
2nd flex5of 12teams pass
Second backup slot is fragile
Woody Marks8.4 PPGneeds 9RB
Roster diagnosis
Holding you back
3 problems
- 1TETE is a hole, not a position group−71%Your tight end room holds −71% of the trade value the average team carries there and ranks 11th of 12. Every week you start someone the rest of the league would bench.
- 2TFR is selling 9 of your playersWoody Marks, Jadarian Price, KC Concepcion Jr. sit on the Buy/Hold/Sell board as sells. You are holding assets our own board says the market is overpaying for.
- 3DEPTHYour bench is short in 3 spotsYou start 2 quarterbacks and nobody behind them clears 12 PPG. In superflex that is the fastest way to lose a week. No back behind your starters clears 9 PPG. One injury and you are starting a handcuff. Nobody behind your starting tight end clears 7.1 PPG. Not hard to fix, but you need one.
Your edge
3 advantages
- 1WRWR is loaded, but none of it is spare+75%Your receiver room holds +75% of what the average team carries there and ranks 2nd of 12 — but you start 4 receivers a week once flex slots are filled and only 5 of them clear 9 PPG, so none of it is spare. The move here is trading quality down at WR and taking a startable body back, not shipping a WR out for nothing.
- 2You already own 7 TFR buysMalachi Fields, Chris Bell, Jonah Coleman are flagged BUY on our board. The market has not caught up to these yet — hold them.
- 3QBQB is your strongest room+49%Your quarterback room holds +49% of what the average team carries there and ranks 2nd of 12 — but you start 2 quarterbacks a week and only 2 of them clear 12 PPG, so none of it is spare. The move here is trading quality down at QB and taking a startable body back, not shipping a QB out for nothing.
Trading difficultyHow easily this roster can make a deal. All your value in three studs scores low, because any trade opens a hole in your lineup. Value spread across seven or eight useful players — and picks in the first two rounds — scores high: you can make a real offer without gutting yourself.
How easy it is for you to make a deal
5.8/ 10
0–4.5Hard4.5–7Moderate7–9Easy9–10Very easy
8Top-90 players
League avgLeague avg 7.5
31st & 2nd picks
Below avgLeague avg 4.0
44%Value in top 3
League avgLeague avg 46%
1Movable bench
League avgLeague avg 0.9
The verdict
Trading from this roster is moderate.
- Mid-sized deals work without touching the lineup
Trade Ideas
These are alternative deals, not a sequence — you would do one of them, which is why the same piece can appear on more than one card. They come in four kinds. FILLS A NEED moves value from a room you're long in to the one you're short in. TIER UP sends one of your starters plus a piece for a better player at the same position — for the rooms that are already fine but could be better. YOUR BOARD comes from the Buy/Hold/Sell board: a player you're selling moved while someone will still pay, or a player you're buying asked for by name. SELL THE VET and WIN-NOW BUY are the trades where the two plans meet — a rebuild selling a veteran to a contender for youth or picks, or a contender paying a rebuild in futures for a producer. Every offer is checked for whether a person would accept it, not just whether the values add up: the side getting the best player pays a premium for consolidating, you can't buy someone far above the best chip you own, and every player you send has to be someone who'd actually crack their lineup. A rebuild is never handed back an older player than it sends, and a contender is never handed a player who is out for the season. The percentage on each card is whether that manager would actually want it — their window, whether it lands in a room they are thin at, what it costs them, and how often they trade at all.alternatives — you'd do one of them4.7Trade market: Normal21 completed trades since January — about 3.5 per team. Reasonable offers get answered here.
BetaTrade ideas are in beta and can be wrong — use them as a starting point, not as advice to follow blindly. Found a bad one? Screenshot it and send it to matthewbarghout on Discord — every real example is how we fix the logic.
FILLS A NEEDMakai Wishtrades often
Harold Fannin Jr. is the piece to ask for at TE. Pay in draft capital rather than out of the lineup: your TE room is 71% below league average, and picks are the one currency you can spend without opening a hole this season.
- Harold Fannin Jr. is on your BUY board — your read: “Great long term asset, buy the dip.”
- This manager trades often, so an offer here will actually get looked at.
⇄They receive
2028 1stPick
You receive
Harold Fannin Jr.TE
Fair offerA straight swap at the same tier, priced at the going rate — the easiest kind of offer to get a yes on.A one-for-one at the same tier — the easiest kind of deal to get answered, and the shape the market prices most reliably. Offers are built smallest-first, and every player going out has to be someone who would actually crack their lineup — filler they'd bench is what makes a trade offer get ignored.
60% likelyWorth sending: they are rebuilding and this is mostly draft capital, which is exactly what they are collecting, and this manager trades often.
FILLS A NEEDPenix Hurtsrarely trades
Isaiah Likely is the piece to ask for at TE. Pay in draft capital rather than out of the lineup: your TE room is 71% below league average, and picks are the one currency you can spend without opening a hole this season.
- Isaiah Likely is on your BUY board — your read: “Buy the dip?”
- This manager rarely trades, so lead with your best realistic offer rather than a lowball.
⇄They receive
2027 1st (Indianapolis RomeODoubzes)Pick
You receive
Isaiah LikelyTE
Fair offerA straight swap at the same tier, priced at the going rate — the easiest kind of offer to get a yes on.A one-for-one at the same tier — the easiest kind of deal to get answered, and the shape the market prices most reliably. Offers are built smallest-first, and every player going out has to be someone who would actually crack their lineup — filler they'd bench is what makes a trade offer get ignored.
42% likelyA tough sell: you are asking for a tight end they cannot really spare, and this manager rarely trades.
What Changes Your Window?
The gap between where you are and the next window, sized in the thing that actually moves it — points of starting-lineup production, or the value you'd need to add.You are already inside the top third. Holding it means protecting the 2nd-ranked lineup you have — and tight end, 71% below league average and 11th of 12, is the one spot still costing you points.
Draft capitalEvery future pick you hold. A pick is priced as the player it is expected to become, so where it lands in the round is most of what it is worth — and where it lands is set by how the roster that owes it is projected to finish, not by how good they look on paper. You project to finish 2nd of 12, so your own picks land late in each round.
7 picks over the next 2 drafts — about 8% short of an average roster.
#7 / 12
Pick value rankEvery pick added up at this league's prices, ranked against the other 11 rosters.
7
Total picks
0.9×
League averageYour picks' combined value against what an average roster in this league holds. 1.0× is exactly average.
2027 draft4 picksProjected order
1.101st roundlateAcquired2027 1st (Indianapolis RomeODoubzes) · 1.10Worth about the dynasty #76 player. From Indianapolis RomeODoubzes, who project to finish 3rd of 12 — a late one.
1.111st roundlate2027 1st · 1.11Worth about the dynasty #80 player.
3.113rd roundlate2027 3rd · 3.11Worth about the dynasty #233 player.
4.114th roundlate2027 4th · 4.11Worth about the dynasty #280 player.
2028 draft3 picksMid-round estimate
1.091st round~late2028 1st · 1.09Worth about the dynasty #76 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
3.093rd round~late2028 3rd · 3.09Worth about the dynasty #233 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
4.094th round~late2028 4th · 4.09Worth about the dynasty #280 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
Draft capital value
#7of 12
Your pick value ranks 7th in this league.
Picks by year
20274
20283
Top asset
1.10Your most valuable pick. From Indianapolis RomeODoubzes, who project to finish 3rd of 12 — a late one.
2027 1st roundlate
Worth about the dynasty #76 player.
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