TFR Team Review · Oct 30, 2026
Heisman League
elpachecoDynasty12 teams1QB · 2RB · 3WR · 1TE · 3FLEX · 1SFRecord 1-6
Elver Galargo
7th of 12 by value|1-6
Data drivesdynasties
Team state
REBUILD ON TRACK
Now: REBUILD
2 yrs: RELOAD
Overall roster grade
3.1
Below average roster value
Overall grade · 3.1 of 10Everything on the roster added up — players and draft picks at this league's values — and set against the league's average roster. An average roster lands around 5.5; 10 is the richest a roster gets.Roster shape
TOP HEAVY
Best WR 5th
Worst TE 12th
Positional grades
League rank · of 12QBQuarterback · 7th of 127th of 12 in quarterback trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. And 1 clears 12.3 PPG for 2 starting spots — you cannot fill the lineup here, let alone the bench. Jaxson Dart is part of that value and out for the season — tradeable, but not scoring for you this year.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
RBRunning Back · 9th of 129th of 12 in running back trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. 2 clear 10.2 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is nothing startable behind the lineup.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
WRWide Receiver · 5th of 125th of 12 in receiver trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. And 4 clear 9.8 PPG for 5 starting spots — you cannot fill the lineup here, let alone the bench.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
TETight End · 12th of 1212th of 12 in tight end trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. 2 clear 8.4 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is nothing startable behind the lineup.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
FLEXFlex · 8th of 128th of 12 in the trade value left over once your dedicated slots are filled — the pool your 4 flex spots draw from. Neither of your 2 bench flex bodies clears the bar.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
DEPTHDepth · 11th of 1211th of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 12th of 12 in weekly points.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
Best position
WR 5th
Top half of 12
5th of 12 in receiver trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. And 4 clear 9.8 PPG for 5 starting spots — you cannot fill the lineup here, let alone the bench.Biggest gap
TE 12th
Last in the league
12th of 12 in tight end trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. 2 clear 8.4 PPG for 2 starting spots, so there is nothing startable behind the lineup.Production share
6.8%
vs league avg 8.3%
Value share
6.5%
vs league avg 8.3%
Draft capital
2 1sts · 2 2nds
2 year outlook
REBUILD→RELOAD
Roster workspace
11 starters · 1QB · 2RB · 3WR · 1TE · 3FLEX · 1SFProjected pointsFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game.133.9Starting lineup
SlotPlayerRankPPG
QB
Jared GoffDET · 32QB1418.8
Jared GoffDET · 32QB1418.8RB
Omarion HamptonLAC · 23RB1615.1
Omarion HamptonLAC · 23RB1615.1RB
Bhayshul TutenJAX · 23RB1211.6
Bhayshul TutenJAX · 23RB1211.6WR
Justin JeffersonMIN · 27WR715.1
Justin JeffersonMIN · 27WR715.1WR
Rashee RiceKC · 26WR2614.9
Rashee RiceKC · 26WR2614.9WR
Jalen CokerCAR · 25WR2911.4
Jalen CokerCAR · 25WR2911.4TE
Mark AndrewsBAL · 31TE2412.1
Mark AndrewsBAL · 31TE2412.1FLEX
Makai LemonPHI · 22WR2510.1
Makai LemonPHI · 22WR2510.1FLEX
Mason TaylorNYJ · 22TE349.5
Mason TaylorNYJ · 22TE349.5FLEX
Keon ColemanBUF · 23WR878.0
Keon ColemanBUF · 23WR878.0SF
Marcus MariotaWAS · 33QB477.3
Marcus MariotaWAS · 33QB477.3Projected points · 11 startersFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game.133.9
Roster
Quarterbacks
6Jared GoffDET · 32QB14HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Jaxson DartIRNYG · 23QB18BUYTFR board · BUY 3/10yikes, IMO I love buying low if extra cheap, but also lowkey wouldn't mind selling high, real high though
Ty SimpsonLAR · 23QB25SELLTFR board · SELL 7/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
J.J. McCarthyNYG · 23QB30SELLTFR board · SELL 10/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.Marcus MariotaWAS · 33QB47—
Quinn EwersJAX · 23QB53—Running backs
6Bhayshul TutenJAX · 23RB12BUYTFR board · BUY 4/10Been unlucky with TDs called back from flagsOmarion HamptonLAC · 23RB16BUYTFR board · BUY 6/10Great buy dip for rebuilder
Ollie Gordon IIMIA · 22RB50—
Kaytron AllenMIA · 23RB53SELLTFR board · SELL 10/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Brian Robinson Jr.ATL · 27RB61—
Isiah PachecoIRDET · 27RB64HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.Wide receivers
9Justin JeffersonMIN · 27WR7SELLTFR board · SELL 8/10He's obviously the truth… He's only a hard sell b/c of his massive spike, and I think with some of the underperformers like Pickens, you could shop for a gnarly tier down package… QB still an issue.Makai LemonPHI · 22WR25BUYTFR board · BUY 8/10Price DROPPING… Yard Sale prices… check JSN's rookie year… finally a solid game, and if Devonta gets shut down…Rashee RiceKC · 26WR26SELLTFR board · SELL 10/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.Jalen CokerCAR · 25WR29BUYTFR board · BUY 5/10Still value to be made… I don't believe long term though
Ted Hurst IIITB · 22WR70HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Dontayvion WicksPHI · 25WR85—Keon ColemanBUF · 23WR87—
Darnell MooneyNYG · 29WR97—
Jalen NailorLV · 27WR104—Tight ends
3Mark AndrewsBAL · 31TE24SELLTFR board · SELL 7/10Good contending buyMason TaylorNYJ · 22TE34—
Jake TongesIRSF · 27TE49—The TFR take
I dont see this discord username, DM Me
The Roadmap
Your plan
REBUILDWhy rebuildStarting lineup produces 12th of 12 — not enough to win now.Roster value ranks 7th of 12, and holds roughly steady two seasons out.This reads your playoff odds — your record, your lineup and the schedule left — as well as your roster, and leans on them more as the season goes on. Four things decide this split: how many points your starting lineup scores today, how much trade value you hold, what that value looks like once every player is two years older, and how your core's age compares to the rest of the league. Producing now pushes you toward CONTEND, holding value that hasn't reached your lineup yet pushes you toward RELOAD, and being young without the production pushes you toward REBUILD. A close split means the roster genuinely hasn't picked a side.
Elver Galargo
34%
63%
CONTEND 3%RELOAD 34%REBUILD 63%
Lineup productionYour best legal starting lineup scores 133.9 points a week, 12th of 12 in the league. This is the half of the plan that wins games this season.
12thof 12
12thof 12
Team valueEverything on the roster — players and draft picks at this league's values — ranks 7th of 12. This is the half of the plan that wins the next three years.
7thof 12
7thof 12
Value × productionLeft to right is how much dynasty value you hold against an average team; bottom to top is how many points your best starting lineup scores. Every logo is a team in your league. Top right means both are working; bottom right means the assets are there but not in your lineup yet; top left means you are winning above your talent; bottom left means neither is working. The shaded band through the middle is within 8% of average either way — a team inside it reads as average on that axis.
Weekly production →
fragile contenderdominantrebuildfuture contenderLeague avgNNabers in Paris 15.2% of the league's value · 9.6% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%TTittsburg Feelers 15.1% of the league's value · 10.1% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%MMarvin's Room 10.9% of the league's value · 9.3% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%TTank for Arch8.0% of the league's value · 7.5% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%TTua girls one Kupp7.6% of the league's value · 7.6% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%SSmash Mouth6.9% of the league's value · 8.7% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%PPUKACHU ⚡️⚡️⚡️6.5% of the league's value · 8.5% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%Cchuckaluka6.5% of the league's value · 7.8% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%GGenital Ward on my Dak6.0% of the league's value · 8.2% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%Jjsantaa5.8% of the league's value · 8.1% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%KKeenan and Kel-ce4.9% of the league's value · 7.8% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%EYouElver Galargo 6.5% of the league's value · 6.8% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%
Dynasty value →REBUILDYou hold −21% the trade value of an average team and score −18% its weekly points. Neither side is working — this roster needs assets, not tweaks.
Competitive windowNot open yet — more than two seasons outRead off the roster now (rebuild) and the same roster with everyone two seasons older (reload).
REBUILD ON TRACKREBUILD ON TRACKRight now this roster reads REBUILD — that's the same verdict as its game plan, blending what the starting lineup scores, how much value it holds and how old the core is. In two years, with every player aged forward, roster value lands in the middle third of the league.
TOP HEAVYTOP HEAVYNo starting spot cracks the top 3 of 12, and depth ranks 11th of 12 — nothing behind the starters.
REBUILDREBUILDYou hold −21% the trade value of an average team and score −18% its weekly points. Neither side is working — this roster needs assets, not tweaks.
The game plan
Your moves, most important first
WRSell
Rashee Rice
Get a startable WR back
Shop Rashee Rice before his value drops — and get a startable receiver in return, the room has none to spare.Trade talks
Nabers in Paris
Best fit for a deal
Open trade talks with Nabers in Paris .
RBShop
Bhayshul Tuten
Young starter + a 1st
Take calls on Bhayshul Tuten — price him at a young starter plus a first.
Top move
Sell Justin Jefferson now, while the market still paysAt a 63% rebuild read, every week you hold an aging asset costs you value you will never get back. Flagged SELL on the TFR board — his read: “He's obviously the truth… He's only a hard sell b/c of his massive spike, and I think with some of the underperformers like Pickens, you could shop for a gnarly tier down package… QB still an issue.”
Season odds
We rebuild your league's real schedule, project each team's weekly score from its best legal starting lineup, then play the rest of the season out a few thousand times with realistic week-to-week swing. These are the share of those seasons where you make the bracket and where you win it. Games already played are kept as results, so the numbers sharpen as the season goes.12-team league0%PlayoffsYou make the bracket in 0% of the simulated seasons.
0%TitleYou win it in 0% of them. In a 12-team league an average roster wins about 8%.
3.0Proj. winsYour average record across every simulated season, over 14 regular-season games.
12thProj. seedRanked by average finish across every simulated season, you come out 12th — that, not the win total, sets the seed. You average 3.0 wins over 14 games; the league average is exactly 7.0.
Positional balance
Your roster value vs. league averageEverything you own in each group, added up and set against what an average team in this 12-team league carries there. Right of the line means you hold more than you can start, so that is where a trade should come from. Left of the line is where incoming value should land. FLEX is the best of what is left after your starters; DEPTH is everything behind that.Biggest need
TE−93%
Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +93% less than an average team here carries — 12th of 12. You start 2 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.← Deficit · buy hereLeague averageSurplus · trade from here →
-100%0%+100%
QB
Quarterback · −26% · 7th of 12Add up everything you own at QB and it is worth +26% less than an average team here carries — 7th of 12. You start 2 quarterbacks a week, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.
−26%7thRB
Running Back · −31% · 9th of 12Add up everything you own at RB and it is worth +31% less than an average team here carries — 9th of 12. You start 2 running backs a week, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.
−31%9thWR
Wide Receiver · −1% · 5th of 12Add up everything you own at WR and it comes to about what an average team in this league carries there. Nothing to trade from, nothing to fix.
−1%5thTE
Tight End · −93% · 12th of 12Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +93% less than an average team here carries — 12th of 12. You start 2 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.
−93%12thFLEX
Flex · −50% · 8th of 128th of 12 in the trade value left over once your dedicated slots are filled — the pool your 4 flex spots draw from. Neither of your 2 bench flex bodies clears the bar.
−50%8thDEPTH
Depth · −65% · 11th of 1211th of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 12th of 12 in weekly points.
−65%11thBench depth check
Can your bench survive an injury or a bye week?
0Coveredsurvives an injury1Thinone injury from trouble5Exposeda bye costs you a week
QB
QB depth6of 12teams pass
No startable backup
J.J. McCarthy7.1 PPGneeds 12.3QB
RB
RB depth1of 12teams pass
No true RB injury cover
Brian Robinson Jr.5.9 PPGneeds 10.2RB
WR
WR depth4of 12teams pass
Receiver bench is too thin
Dontayvion Wicks7.0 PPGneeds 9.8WR
TE
TE depth3of 12teams pass
No usable TE2
Nobody behind your lineup · needs 8.4 PPG
FLEX
Flex depth4of 12teams pass
Bench flex is a weekly risk
Dontayvion Wicks7.0 PPGneeds 10.2WR
2ND FLEX
2nd flex2of 12teams pass
Second backup slot is fragile
Dontayvion Wicks7.0 PPGneeds 10.2WR
Roster diagnosis
Holding you back
3 problems
- 1TETE is a hole, not a position group−93%Your tight end room holds −93% of the trade value the average team carries there and ranks 12th of 12. Every week you start someone the rest of the league would bench.
- 2DEPTHYour bench is short in 5 spotsYou start 2 quarterbacks and nobody behind them clears 12.3 PPG. In superflex that is the fastest way to lose a week. No back behind your starters clears 10.2 PPG. One injury and you are starting a handcuff. No receiver behind your starters clears 9.8 PPG. Most rosters carry one, and bye weeks punish you without it. Nobody behind your starting tight end clears 8.4 PPG. Not hard to fix, but you need one. Nothing on your bench clears 10.2 PPG. Bye weeks will cost you.
- 3TFR is selling 6 of your playersRashee Rice, J.J. McCarthy, Ty Simpson sit on the Buy/Hold/Sell board as sells. You are holding assets our own board says the market is overpaying for.
Your edge
1 advantage
- 1You already own 5 TFR buysJalen Coker, Bhayshul Tuten, Omarion Hampton are flagged BUY on our board. The market has not caught up to these yet — hold them.
Trading difficultyHow easily this roster can make a deal. All your value in three studs scores low, because any trade opens a hole in your lineup. Value spread across seven or eight useful players — and picks in the first two rounds — scores high: you can make a real offer without gutting yourself.
How easy it is for you to make a deal
6.1/ 10
0–4.5Hard4.5–7Moderate7–9Easy9–10Very easy
8Top-90 players
League avgLeague avg 7.5
41st & 2nd picks
League avgLeague avg 4.0
43%Value in top 3
League avgLeague avg 46%
1Movable bench
League avgLeague avg 1.0
The verdict
Trading from this roster is moderate.
- Mid-sized deals work without touching the lineup
Trade Ideas
These are alternative deals, not a sequence — you would do one of them, which is why the same piece can appear on more than one card. They come in four kinds. FILLS A NEED moves value from a room you're long in to the one you're short in. TIER UP sends one of your starters plus a piece for a better player at the same position — for the rooms that are already fine but could be better. YOUR BOARD comes from the Buy/Hold/Sell board: a player you're selling moved while someone will still pay, or a player you're buying asked for by name. SELL THE VET and WIN-NOW BUY are the trades where the two plans meet — a rebuild selling a veteran to a contender for youth or picks, or a contender paying a rebuild in futures for a producer. Every offer is checked for whether a person would accept it, not just whether the values add up: the side getting the best player pays a premium for consolidating, you can't buy someone far above the best chip you own, and every player you send has to be someone who'd actually crack their lineup. A rebuild is never handed back an older player than it sends, and a contender is never handed a player who is out for the season. The percentage on each card is whether that manager would actually want it — their window, whether it lands in a room they are thin at, what it costs them, and how often they trade at all.alternatives — you'd do one of them0.3Trade market: Nearly dead1 completed trade since April — about 0.2 per team. You will need to start the conversation, and expect to overpay slightly to finish one.
BetaTrade ideas are in beta and can be wrong — use them as a starting point, not as advice to follow blindly. Found a bad one? Screenshot it and send it to matthewbarghout on Discord — every real example is how we fix the logic.
FILLS A NEEDNabers in Paris rarely trades
Nothing of theirs fits your TE need cleanly.
- No package yet — their cheapest spare TE is still a bigger piece than anything you can move without opening a hole, and stacking bodies makes an offer easier to decline, not harder. Get one real chip first.
- This manager rarely trades, so lead with your best realistic offer rather than a lowball.
FILLS A NEEDTittsburg Feelers rarely trades
Nothing of theirs fits your TE need cleanly.
- No package yet — their cheapest spare TE is still a bigger piece than anything you can move without opening a hole, and stacking bodies makes an offer easier to decline, not harder. Get one real chip first.
- This manager rarely trades, so lead with your best realistic offer rather than a lowball.
FILLS A NEEDMarvin's Room trades occasionally
Nothing of theirs fits your TE need cleanly.
- No package yet — their cheapest spare TE is still a bigger piece than anything you can move without opening a hole, and stacking bodies makes an offer easier to decline, not harder. Get one real chip first.
What Changes Your Window?
The gap between where you are and the next window, sized in the thing that actually moves it — points of starting-lineup production, or the value you'd need to add.At 63% this is not a close call, and the 35.5 PPG between you and a top-third lineup is too wide to buy in one offseason. What moves you to RELOAD is turning your oldest starters into young tight ends and picks — and then not spending them.
Draft capitalEvery future pick you hold. A pick is priced as the player it is expected to become, so where it lands in the round is most of what it is worth — and where it lands is set by how the roster that owes it is projected to finish, not by how good they look on paper. You project to finish 12th of 12, so your own picks land early in each round.
6 picks over the next 2 drafts — about 1.5× what an average roster holds.
#2 / 12
Pick value rankEvery pick added up at this league's prices, ranked against the other 11 rosters.
6
Total picks
1.5×
League averageYour picks' combined value against what an average roster in this league holds. 1.0× is exactly average.
2027 draft3 picksProjected order
1.011st roundearly2027 1st · 1.01Worth about the dynasty #33 player.
2.012nd roundearly2027 2nd · 2.01Worth about the dynasty #129 player.
3.013rd roundearly2027 3rd · 3.01Worth about the dynasty #205 player.
2028 draft3 picksMid-round estimate
1.041st round~mid2028 1st · 1.04Worth about the dynasty #55 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
2.042nd round~mid2028 2nd · 2.04Worth about the dynasty #148 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
3.043rd round~mid2028 3rd · 3.04Worth about the dynasty #221 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
Draft capital value
#2of 12
Your pick value ranks 2nd in this league.
Picks by year
20273
20283
Top asset
1.01Your most valuable pick.
2027 1st roundearly
Worth about the dynasty #33 player.
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