TFR Team Review · Oct 30, 2026
Grey Cup Dynasty
TheJdotTdotDynasty12 teams1QB · 2RB · 2WR · 1TE · 3FLEX · 1SFRecord 1-6
Ken and Charbie
2nd of 12 by value|1-6
Data drivesdynasties
Team state
ONE YEAR RELOAD
Now: RELOAD
2 yrs: CONTEND
Overall roster grade
7.7
Above average roster value
Overall grade · 7.7 of 10Everything on the roster added up — players and draft picks at this league's values — and set against the league's average roster. An average roster lands around 5.5; 10 is the richest a roster gets.Roster shape
QB/TE HEAVY
Best QB 1st
Worst DEPTH 12th
Positional grades
League rank · of 12QBQuarterback · 1st of 121st of 12 in quarterback trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. That is value, not depth: 2 clear 14.1 PPG for 2 starting spots, so the rank is the men who start rather than anything behind them.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
RBRunning Back · 11th of 1211th of 12 in running back trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. And 0 clear 9 PPG for 2 starting spots — you cannot fill the lineup here, let alone the bench.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
WRWide Receiver · 10th of 1210th of 12 in receiver trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. And 2 clear 9 PPG for 3 starting spots — you cannot fill the lineup here, let alone the bench.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
TETight End · 3rd of 123rd of 12 in tight end trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. That is value, not depth: 3 clear 6 PPG for 3 starting spots, so the rank is the men who start rather than anything behind them.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
FLEXFlex · 12th of 1212th of 12 in the trade value left over once your dedicated slots are filled — the pool your 4 flex spots draw from. Neither of your 2 bench flex bodies clears the bar.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
DEPTHDepth · 12th of 1212th of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 11th of 12 in weekly points.The fuller the gem, the higher it ranks — a full gem is 1st in the league.
Best position
QB 1st
Best in the league
1st of 12 in quarterback trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. That is value, not depth: 2 clear 14.1 PPG for 2 starting spots, so the rank is the men who start rather than anything behind them.Biggest gap
DEPTH 12th
Last in the league
12th of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 11th of 12 in weekly points.Production share
7.1%
vs league avg 8.3%
Value share
10.0%
vs league avg 8.3%
Draft capital
6 1sts · 4 2nds
2 year outlook
RELOAD→CONTEND
Roster workspace
10 starters · 1QB · 2RB · 2WR · 1TE · 3FLEX · 1SFProjected pointsFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game.120.3Starting lineup
SlotPlayerRankPPG
QB
Drake MayeNE · 24QB324.2
Drake MayeNE · 24QB324.2RB
Keaton MitchellLAC · 24RB565.9
Keaton MitchellLAC · 24RB565.9RB
Emmett JohnsonKC · 23RB364.4
Emmett JohnsonKC · 23RB364.4WR
Zay FlowersBAL · 26WR916.5
Zay FlowersBAL · 26WR916.5WR
KC Concepcion Jr.CLE · 22WR2810.2
KC Concepcion Jr.CLE · 22WR2810.2TE
Colston LovelandCHI · 22TE310.4
Colston LovelandCHI · 22TE310.4FLEX
Dalton KincaidBUF · 27TE1010.1
Dalton KincaidBUF · 27TE1010.1FLEX
Quentin JohnstonLAC · 25WR528.9
Quentin JohnstonLAC · 25WR528.9FLEX
Michael MayerLV · 25TE327.7
Michael MayerLV · 25TE327.7SF
Lamar JacksonBAL · 29QB422.0
Lamar JacksonBAL · 29QB422.0Projected points · 10 startersFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game.120.3
Roster
Quarterbacks
5Drake MayeNE · 24QB3HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10No rush to sell, but I do think he is a red flag… not much more upside besides if he can consistently print 20 ppg seasons, versus major downside and not much insulation IMO.Lamar JacksonBAL · 29QB4HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Anthony Richardson Sr.IND · 24QB41—
Jalen MilroeSEA · 23QB43—
Joe MiltonPHI · 26QB50—Running backs
8
Zach CharbonnetSEA · 25RB34BUYTFR board · BUY 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.Emmett JohnsonKC · 23RB36BUYTFR board · BUY 1/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.Keaton MitchellLAC · 24RB56—
Tank BigsbyIRPHI · 24RB60—
Demond ClaiborneMIN · 23RB63SELLTFR board · SELL 4/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Trey BensonIRARI · 24RB67—
Adam RandallIRBAL · 22RB72—
Eli HeidenreichPIT · 23RB76—Wide receivers
9Zay FlowersBAL · 26WR9SELLTFR board · SELL 7/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.KC Concepcion Jr.CLE · 22WR28SELLTFR board · SELL 2/10Lowkey like selling high
Ja'Kobi LaneBAL · 22WR49BUYTFR board · BUY 9/10Buy the dip on injury newsQuentin JohnstonLAC · 25WR52SELLTFR board · SELL 6/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Adonai MitchellNYJ · 24WR68HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10WR2 on Jets
Cyrus AllenKC · 23WR83HOLDTFR board · HOLD 5/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.
Isaac TeSlaaDET · 24WR91—
Zavion ThomasCHI · 22WR113—
Jeff CaldwellIRKC · 23WR180—Tight ends
3Colston LovelandCHI · 22TE3SELLTFR board · SELL 8/10Still good sellDalton KincaidBUF · 27TE10SELLTFR board · SELL 7/10On the Buy / Hold / Sell board without a written note.Michael MayerLV · 25TE32—The TFR take
I dont see your discord username.... DM me
The Roadmap
Your plan
RELOADWhy reloadStarting lineup produces 11th of 12 — not enough to win now.Roster value ranks 2nd of 12, and holds roughly steady two seasons out.This reads your playoff odds — your record, your lineup and the schedule left — as well as your roster, and leans on them more as the season goes on. Four things decide this split: how many points your starting lineup scores today, how much trade value you hold, what that value looks like once every player is two years older, and how your core's age compares to the rest of the league. Producing now pushes you toward CONTEND, holding value that hasn't reached your lineup yet pushes you toward RELOAD, and being young without the production pushes you toward REBUILD. A close split means the roster genuinely hasn't picked a side.
Ken and Charbie
83%
13%
CONTEND 4%RELOAD 83%REBUILD 13%
Lineup productionYour best legal starting lineup scores 120.3 points a week, 11th of 12 in the league. This is the half of the plan that wins games this season.
11thof 12
11thof 12
Team valueEverything on the roster — players and draft picks at this league's values — ranks 2nd of 12. This is the half of the plan that wins the next three years.
2ndof 12
2ndof 12
Value × productionLeft to right is how much dynasty value you hold against an average team; bottom to top is how many points your best starting lineup scores. Every logo is a team in your league. Top right means both are working; bottom right means the assets are there but not in your lineup yet; top left means you are winning above your talent; bottom left means neither is working. The shaded band through the middle is within 8% of average either way — a team inside it reads as average on that axis.
Weekly production →
fragile contenderdominantrebuildfuture contenderLeague avgMMy Penix Cooks10.2% of the league's value · 8.6% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%DDefending Champion9.5% of the league's value · 9.0% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%TTakinAShitWhileMakinPicks8.6% of the league's value · 9.0% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%TThe Geriatric Baker8.4% of the league's value · 9.3% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%Kkredz8.1% of the league's value · 9.0% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%HHowieRosemanFanClub7.9% of the league's value · 8.4% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%FFizzy Womack!7.9% of the league's value · 8.9% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%GGib Me Money7.5% of the league's value · 9.0% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%TTough Love7.5% of the league's value · 7.2% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%MMarshmallow Marshawn7.4% of the league's value · 8.7% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%TTank Commander7.0% of the league's value · 5.8% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%KYouKen and Charbie10.0% of the league's value · 7.1% of its productionAn even split is 8.3%
Dynasty value →FUTURE CONTENDERYou hold +20% the trade value of an average team and score −14% its weekly points. The assets are here; they are not in your starting lineup yet. Consolidating depth into starters is the whole job.
Competitive windowOpens inside the next two seasonsRead off the roster now (reload) and the same roster with everyone two seasons older (contend).
ONE YEAR RELOADONE YEAR RELOADRight now this roster reads RELOAD — that's the same verdict as its game plan, blending what the starting lineup scores, how much value it holds and how old the core is. In two years, with every player aged forward, roster value lands in the top third of the league.
QB/TE HEAVYQB/TE HEAVYQB 1st, TE 3rd — the only two starting spots inside the top 3 of 12.
FUTURE CONTENDERFUTURE CONTENDERYou hold +20% the trade value of an average team and score −14% its weekly points. The assets are here; they are not in your starting lineup yet. Consolidating depth into starters is the whole job.
The game plan
Your moves, most important first
WRSell
Zay Flowers
Get a startable WR back
Shop Zay Flowers before his value drops — and get a startable receiver in return, the room has none to spare.
RBBuy
Omarion Hampton
RB help · Marshmallow Marshawn
Buy Omarion Hampton from Marshmallow Marshawn.Trade talks
Marshmallow Marshawn
Best fit for a deal
Open trade talks with Marshmallow Marshawn.
QBShop
Drake Maye
Young starter + a 1st
Take calls on Drake Maye — price him at a young starter plus a first.
Top move
Trade down at TE to fix RBYour tight end room is 86% above league average, 3rd of 12, while RB is 87% below league average, 11th of 12. But you start 3 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled and only 3 of yours clear 6 PPG, so you cannot simply send one out. Move your most expensive tight end and insist on a startable tight end coming back alongside the running back — the value gap between the two is what pays for the upgrade. Marshmallow Marshawn is the roster shaped to take it.
Get a startable tight end back in the same deal — this room has no spare body.
Season odds
We rebuild your league's real schedule, project each team's weekly score from its best legal starting lineup, then play the rest of the season out a few thousand times with realistic week-to-week swing. These are the share of those seasons where you make the bracket and where you win it. Games already played are kept as results, so the numbers sharpen as the season goes.12-team league3%PlayoffsYou make the bracket in 3% of the simulated seasons.
0%TitleYou win it in 0% of them. In a 12-team league an average roster wins about 8%.
3.4Proj. winsYour average record across every simulated season, over 14 regular-season games.
11thProj. seedRanked by average finish across every simulated season, you come out 11th — that, not the win total, sets the seed. You average 3.4 wins over 14 games; the league average is exactly 7.0.
Positional balance
Your roster value vs. league averageEverything you own in each group, added up and set against what an average team in this 12-team league carries there. Right of the line means you hold more than you can start, so that is where a trade should come from. Left of the line is where incoming value should land. FLEX is the best of what is left after your starters; DEPTH is everything behind that.Biggest need
RB−87%
Add up everything you own at RB and it is worth +87% less than an average team here carries — 11th of 12. You start 2 running backs a week, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.Best strength
TE+86%
Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +86% more than what an average team here carries — 3rd of 12. You start 3 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled and 3 of yours clear 6 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.← Deficit · buy hereLeague averageSurplus · trade from here →
-100%0%+100%
QB
Quarterback · +80% · 1st of 12Add up everything you own at QB and it is worth +80% more than what an average team here carries — 1st of 12. You start 2 quarterbacks a week and 2 of yours clear 14.1 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.
+80%1stRB
Running Back · −87% · 11th of 12Add up everything you own at RB and it is worth +87% less than an average team here carries — 11th of 12. You start 2 running backs a week, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.
−87%11thWR
Wide Receiver · −30% · 10th of 12Add up everything you own at WR and it is worth +30% less than an average team here carries — 10th of 12. You start 3 receivers a week once flex slots are filled, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.
−30%10thTE
Tight End · +86% · 3rd of 12Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +86% more than what an average team here carries — 3rd of 12. You start 3 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled and 3 of yours clear 6 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.
+86%3rdFLEX
Flex · −57% · 12th of 1212th of 12 in the trade value left over once your dedicated slots are filled — the pool your 4 flex spots draw from. Neither of your 2 bench flex bodies clears the bar.
−57%12thDEPTH
Depth · −74% · 12th of 1212th of 12 in the trade value of everyone past your starters and flex — the bench you would trade from, not the bench you would start. Your lineup itself ranks 11th of 12 in weekly points.
−74%12thBench depth check
Can your bench survive an injury or a bye week?
0Coveredsurvives an injury1Thinone injury from trouble5Exposeda bye costs you a week
QB
QB depth5of 12teams pass
No startable backup
Anthony Richardson Sr.0.0 PPGneeds 14.1QB
RB
RB depth4of 12teams pass
No true RB injury cover
Demond Claiborne1.5 PPGneeds 9RB
WR
WR depth4of 12teams pass
Receiver bench is too thin
Adonai Mitchell6.3 PPGneeds 9WR
TE
TE depth7of 12teams pass
No usable TE2
Nobody behind your lineup · needs 6 PPG
FLEX
Flex depth5of 12teams pass
Bench flex is a weekly risk
Adonai Mitchell6.3 PPGneeds 9WR
2ND FLEX
2nd flex5of 12teams pass
Second backup slot is fragile
Adonai Mitchell6.3 PPGneeds 9WR
Roster diagnosis
Holding you back
3 problems
- 1RBRB is a hole, not a position group−87%Your running back room holds −87% of the trade value the average team carries there and ranks 11th of 12. Every week you start someone the rest of the league would bench.
- 2DEPTHYour bench is short in 5 spotsYou start 2 quarterbacks and nobody behind them clears 14.1 PPG. In superflex that is the fastest way to lose a week. No back behind your starters clears 9 PPG. One injury and you are starting a handcuff. No receiver behind your starters clears 9 PPG. Most rosters carry one, and bye weeks punish you without it. Nobody behind your starting tight end clears 6 PPG. Not hard to fix, but you need one. Nothing on your bench clears 9 PPG. Bye weeks will cost you.
- 3Your value isn't reaching your lineup2nd / 12You rank 2nd of 12 in roster value but only 11th in starting-lineup production — 9 places of value sitting on your bench doing nothing.
Your edge
3 advantages
- 1TETE is loaded, but none of it is spare+86%Your tight end room holds +86% of what the average team carries there and ranks 3rd of 12 — but you start 3 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled and only 3 of them clear 6 PPG, so none of it is spare. The move here is trading quality down at TE and taking a startable body back, not shipping a TE out for nothing.
- 2QBQB is your strongest room+80%Your quarterback room holds +80% of what the average team carries there and ranks 1st of 12 — but you start 2 quarterbacks a week and only 2 of them clear 14.1 PPG, so none of it is spare. The move here is trading quality down at QB and taking a startable body back, not shipping a QB out for nothing.
- 3You already own 3 TFR buysJa'Kobi Lane, Emmett Johnson, Zach Charbonnet are flagged BUY on our board. The market has not caught up to these yet — hold them.
Trading difficultyHow easily this roster can make a deal. All your value in three studs scores low, because any trade opens a hole in your lineup. Value spread across seven or eight useful players — and picks in the first two rounds — scores high: you can make a real offer without gutting yourself.
How easy it is for you to make a deal
6.7/ 10
0–4.5Hard4.5–7Moderate7–9Easy9–10Very easy
5Top-90 players
Below avgLeague avg 7.5
101st & 2nd picks
Above avgLeague avg 4.0
43%Value in top 3
Spread outLeague avg 49%
0Movable bench
Below avgLeague avg 0.9
The verdict
Trading from this roster is moderate.
- Mid-sized deals work without touching the lineup
- Your picks can pay for an upgrade
- No single trade guts this roster
Trade Ideas
These are alternative deals, not a sequence — you would do one of them, which is why the same piece can appear on more than one card. They come in four kinds. FILLS A NEED moves value from a room you're long in to the one you're short in. TIER UP sends one of your starters plus a piece for a better player at the same position — for the rooms that are already fine but could be better. YOUR BOARD comes from the Buy/Hold/Sell board: a player you're selling moved while someone will still pay, or a player you're buying asked for by name. SELL THE VET and WIN-NOW BUY are the trades where the two plans meet — a rebuild selling a veteran to a contender for youth or picks, or a contender paying a rebuild in futures for a producer. Every offer is checked for whether a person would accept it, not just whether the values add up: the side getting the best player pays a premium for consolidating, you can't buy someone far above the best chip you own, and every player you send has to be someone who'd actually crack their lineup. A rebuild is never handed back an older player than it sends, and a contender is never handed a player who is out for the season. The percentage on each card is whether that manager would actually want it — their window, whether it lands in a room they are thin at, what it costs them, and how often they trade at all.alternatives — you'd do one of them5.5Trade market: Normal25 completed trades since January — about 4.2 per team. Reasonable offers get answered here.
BetaTrade ideas are in beta and can be wrong — use them as a starting point, not as advice to follow blindly. Found a bad one? Screenshot it and send it to matthewbarghout on Discord — every real example is how we fix the logic.
No complementary roster in this league right now — nobody is long where you are short.
What Changes Your Window?
The gap between where you are and the next window, sized in the thing that actually moves it — points of starting-lineup production, or the value you'd need to add.You are 30.9 PPG of starting-lineup production away from a top-third lineup. One more starting-calibre running back — bought with the bench value you already hold — flips you to CONTEND without touching your core.
Draft capitalEvery future pick you hold. A pick is priced as the player it is expected to become, so where it lands in the round is most of what it is worth — and where it lands is set by how the roster that owes it is projected to finish, not by how good they look on paper. You project to finish 11th of 12, so your own picks land early in each round.
11 picks over the next 2 drafts — about 3.2× what an average roster holds.
#1 / 12
Pick value rankEvery pick added up at this league's prices, ranked against the other 11 rosters.
11
Total picks
3.2×
League averageYour picks' combined value against what an average roster in this league holds. 1.0× is exactly average.
2027 draft7 picksProjected order
1.021st roundearly2027 1st · 1.02Worth about the dynasty #38 player.
1.041st roundearlyAcquired2027 1st (HowieRosemanFanClub) · 1.04Worth about the dynasty #48 player. From HowieRosemanFanClub, who project to finish 9th of 12 — an early pick in the round.
1.061st roundmidAcquired2027 1st (Marshmallow Marshawn) · 1.06Worth about the dynasty #58 player. From Marshmallow Marshawn, who project to finish 7th of 12 — the middle of the round.
1.111st roundlateAcquired2027 1st (kredz) · 1.11Worth about the dynasty #80 player. From kredz, who project to finish 2nd of 12 — a late one.
2.022nd roundearly2027 2nd · 2.02Worth about the dynasty #133 player.
2.062nd roundmidAcquired2027 2nd (Marshmallow Marshawn) · 2.06Worth about the dynasty #149 player. From Marshmallow Marshawn, who project to finish 7th of 12 — the middle of the round.
2.092nd roundlateAcquired2027 2nd (TakinAShitWhileMakinPicks) · 2.09Worth about the dynasty #160 player. From TakinAShitWhileMakinPicks, who project to finish 4th of 12 — a late one.
2028 draft4 picksMid-round estimate
1.041st round~mid2028 1st · 1.04Worth about the dynasty #57 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
1.051st round~midAcquired2028 1st (HowieRosemanFanClub) · 1.05Worth about the dynasty #62 player. From HowieRosemanFanClub. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
2.042nd round~mid2028 2nd · 2.04Worth about the dynasty #150 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
4.044th round~mid2028 4th · 4.04Worth about the dynasty #274 player. Two drafts out, so it is priced near the middle of the round — nobody's finish can be called that far ahead.
Draft capital value
#1of 12
Your pick value ranks 1st in this league.
Picks by year
20277
20284
Top asset
1.02Your most valuable pick.
2027 1st roundearly
Worth about the dynasty #38 player.
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