TFR Team Review · Oct 30, 2026
League of Champs
Team big kirko
5th of 12 by value|2-5
Data drivesdynasties
Team state
FAST REBUILD
Now: REBUILD
2 yrs: CONTEND
Overall roster grade
About average roster value
Overall grade · 4.8 of 10Everything on the roster added up — players and draft picks at this league's values — and set against the league's average roster. An average roster lands around 5.5; 10 is the richest a roster gets.Roster shape
TE PREMIUM
Best TE 3rd
Worst RB 11th
Positional grades
League rank · of 12Best position
TE 3rd
Top 3 of 12
3rd of 12 in tight end trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. That is value, not depth: 2 clear 7.1 PPG for 2 starting spots, so the rank is the men who start rather than anything behind them.Biggest gap
RB 11th
Bottom third of 12
11th of 12 in running back trade value — what the room is worth to move, weighted toward the men who start. It is not a count of points. And 1 clears 9 PPG for 2 starting spots — you cannot fill the lineup here, let alone the bench. Jonathon Brooks is part of that value and out for the season — tradeable, but not scoring for you this year.Production share
6.8%
vs league avg 8.3%
Value share
7.8%
vs league avg 8.3%
Draft capital
2 1sts · 6 2nds
2 year outlook
REBUILD→CONTEND
Roster workspace
10 starters · 1QB · 2RB · 2WR · 1TE · 3FLEX · 1SFProjected pointsFilled with the best available player at each slot on expected points per game.111.0Starting lineup
Roster
Quarterbacks
3Running backs
7Wide receivers
13Tight ends
4The TFR take

The written take is on its way — the Roadmap below is the full read on this roster in the meantime.
The Roadmap
Your plan
REBUILDWhy rebuildStarting lineup produces 9th of 12 — not enough to win now.Only 0% playoff odds despite this lineup. Some of the record is luck, but those games are already lost.Roster value ranks 5th of 12, and holds roughly steady two seasons out.Your core is younger than the league median, so time is on your side.This reads your playoff odds — your record, your lineup and the schedule left — as well as your roster, and leans on them more as the season goes on. Four things decide this split: how many points your starting lineup scores today, how much trade value you hold, what that value looks like once every player is two years older, and how your core's age compares to the rest of the league. Producing now pushes you toward CONTEND, holding value that hasn't reached your lineup yet pushes you toward RELOAD, and being young without the production pushes you toward REBUILD. A close split means the roster genuinely hasn't picked a side.
Team big kirko
UNDERPERFORMINGYou hold −7% the trade value of an average team and score −19% its weekly points. The assets are league-average but the lineup is not — this is a deployment and roster-construction problem before it is a talent problem.
The game plan
Your moves, most important first
TESell
Colston Loveland
Get a startable TE back
Shop Colston Loveland before his value drops — and get a startable tight end in return, the room has none to spare.Trade talks
Ant is easy pickens
Best fit for a deal
Open trade talks with Ant is easy pickens .
WRShop
Tetairoa McMillan
Young starter + a 1st
Take calls on Tetairoa McMillan — price him at a young starter plus a first.
Top move
Trade down at TE to fix RBYour tight end room is 85% above league average, 3rd of 12, while RB is 82% below league average, 11th of 12. But you start 2 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled and only 2 of yours clear 7.1 PPG, so you cannot simply send one out. Move your most expensive tight end and insist on a startable tight end coming back alongside the running back — the value gap between the two is what pays for the upgrade.
Get a startable tight end back in the same deal — this room has no spare body.
Season odds
We rebuild your league's real schedule, project each team's weekly score from its best legal starting lineup, then play the rest of the season out a few thousand times with realistic week-to-week swing. These are the share of those seasons where you make the bracket and where you win it. Games already played are kept as results, so the numbers sharpen as the season goes.12-team leaguePositional balance
Your roster value vs. league averageEverything you own in each group, added up and set against what an average team in this 12-team league carries there. Right of the line means you hold more than you can start, so that is where a trade should come from. Left of the line is where incoming value should land. FLEX is the best of what is left after your starters; DEPTH is everything behind that.Biggest need
RB−82%
Add up everything you own at RB and it is worth +82% less than an average team here carries — 11th of 12. You start 2 running backs a week, and you are filling those spots below league standard. This is where incoming value should land.Best strength
TE+85%
Add up everything you own at TE and it is worth +85% more than what an average team here carries — 3rd of 12. You start 2 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled and 2 of yours clear 7.1 PPG, so none of it is spare — this is quality to trade down from, not depth to ship out.Bench depth check
Can your bench survive an injury or a bye week?
No startable backup
Nobody behind your lineup · needs 12 PPG

No true RB injury cover
Dylan Sampson6.0 PPGneeds 9RB

Receiver bench is too thin
Kayshon Boutte6.8 PPGneeds 9WR

No usable TE2
Eli Stowers0.0 PPGneeds 7.1TE

Bench flex is a weekly risk
Kayshon Boutte6.8 PPGneeds 9WR

Second backup slot is fragile
Kayshon Boutte6.8 PPGneeds 9WR
Roster diagnosis
Holding you back
3 problems
- 1RBRB is a hole, not a position group−82%Your running back room holds −82% of the trade value the average team carries there and ranks 11th of 12. Every week you start someone the rest of the league would bench.
- 2DEPTHYour bench is short in 5 spotsYou start 2 quarterbacks and nobody behind them clears 12 PPG. In superflex that is the fastest way to lose a week. No back behind your starters clears 9 PPG. One injury and you are starting a handcuff. No receiver behind your starters clears 9 PPG. Most rosters carry one, and bye weeks punish you without it. Nobody behind your starting tight end clears 7.1 PPG. Not hard to fix, but you need one. Nothing on your bench clears 9 PPG. Bye weeks will cost you.
- 3TFR is selling 6 of your playersJonathon Brooks, Jack Bech, Colston Loveland sit on the Buy/Hold/Sell board as sells. You are holding assets our own board says the market is overpaying for.
Your edge
3 advantages
- 1TETE is your strongest room+85%Your tight end room holds +85% of what the average team carries there and ranks 3rd of 12 — but you start 2 tight ends a week once flex slots are filled and only 2 of them clear 7.1 PPG, so none of it is spare. The move here is trading quality down at TE and taking a startable body back, not shipping a TE out for nothing.
- 2You already own 10 TFR buysDylan Sampson, Tory Horton, Jaxson Dart are flagged BUY on our board. The market has not caught up to these yet — hold them.
- 3The youngest core in your tierYour top assets average 22.8 years old against a league median of 26.0. Your value is still appreciating while the field's is decaying.
Trading difficultyHow easily this roster can make a deal. All your value in three studs scores low, because any trade opens a hole in your lineup. Value spread across seven or eight useful players — and picks in the first two rounds — scores high: you can make a real offer without gutting yourself.
How easy it is for you to make a deal
7Top-90 players
League avgLeague avg 7.5
81st & 2nd picks
Above avgLeague avg 4.0
40%Value in top 3
Spread outLeague avg 47%
2Movable bench
Above avgLeague avg 1.3
The verdict
Trading from this roster is easy.
- You can be aggressive in the trade market
- Your picks can pay for an upgrade
- No single trade guts this roster
Trade Ideas
These are alternative deals, not a sequence — you would do one of them, which is why the same piece can appear on more than one card. They come in four kinds. FILLS A NEED moves value from a room you're long in to the one you're short in. TIER UP sends one of your starters plus a piece for a better player at the same position — for the rooms that are already fine but could be better. YOUR BOARD comes from the Buy/Hold/Sell board: a player you're selling moved while someone will still pay, or a player you're buying asked for by name. SELL THE VET and WIN-NOW BUY are the trades where the two plans meet — a rebuild selling a veteran to a contender for youth or picks, or a contender paying a rebuild in futures for a producer. Every offer is checked for whether a person would accept it, not just whether the values add up: the side getting the best player pays a premium for consolidating, you can't buy someone far above the best chip you own, and every player you send has to be someone who'd actually crack their lineup. A rebuild is never handed back an older player than it sends, and a contender is never handed a player who is out for the season. The percentage on each card is whether that manager would actually want it — their window, whether it lands in a room they are thin at, what it costs them, and how often they trade at all.alternatives — you'd do one of themBetaTrade ideas are in beta and can be wrong — use them as a starting point, not as advice to follow blindly. Found a bad one? Screenshot it and send it to matthewbarghout on Discord — every real example is how we fix the logic.
No complementary roster in this league right now — nobody is long where you are short.
What Changes Your Window?
The gap between where you are and the next window, sized in the thing that actually moves it — points of starting-lineup production, or the value you'd need to add.You are 59% rebuild against 38% reload, which means this is still your choice to make. Selling your two oldest starters commits you to the teardown; spending that value on a starting running back instead closes the 46.2 PPG gap and keeps you in the middle. Doing half of each is the only losing option.
Draft capitalEvery future pick you hold. A pick is priced as the player it is expected to become, so where it lands in the round is most of what it is worth — and where it lands is set by how the roster that owes it is projected to finish, not by how good they look on paper. You project to finish 9th of 12, so your own picks land early in each round.
11 picks over the next 2 drafts — about 1.4× what an average roster holds.
#4 / 12
Pick value rankEvery pick added up at this league's prices, ranked against the other 11 rosters.
11
Total picks
1.4×
League averageYour picks' combined value against what an average roster in this league holds. 1.0× is exactly average.
Draft capital value
Your pick value ranks 4th in this league.
Picks by year
Top asset
2027 1st roundearly
Worth about the dynasty #48 player.

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